Heat vs. Bulls Odds & Betting Predictions - April 16, 2025

Heat at Bulls

11:30 pm • ESPN

Miami Heat

3-3

109

109 - 90

Chicago Bulls

5-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat 3-3	+1	+2-112	o220-111	+110
Bulls 5-1	u222	-2-108	u220-110	-130

Wednesday 11:30 p.m.

April 16, 2025

United CenterChicago

CHI +8.5 (Live)-110

T.Herro o24.5 Pts-114

MIA +2.5-111

Fading the world on my own team

A.Wiggins o17.5 Pts-125

0.8u

N.Vucevic u3.5 Ast-130

0.77u

Over 220-112

1.12u

MIA +105 (1H)

A.Wiggins o17.5 Pts-125

Under 220-105

1.9u

N.Vucevic u3.5 Ast-105

0.25u

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

N.Vucevic u3.5 Ast-105

0.5u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

N.Vucevic u3.5 Ast-105

Proj closer to -140. Vuc has cleared this in 4 of his last 6 games, but has converted on 29 of 37 potential assists (78%) and based on his Pass Mix would only 21.5 expected assists over that stretch. Plus the Bulls averaged ~13 more points over that stretch than their implied team total tonight.

B.Adebayo u4.5 Ast+108

1.19u

4.75% ev

K.Huerter u2.5 3pt M-102

1.57u

6.51% ev

M.Buzelis o12.5 Pts+108

1.1u

4.98% ev

D.Mitchell o9.5 Pts-105

1.62u

6.48% ev

A.Wiggins o25.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

N.Vucevic o27.5 Pts+Rebs-104

D.Mitchell o5.5 Ast-105

Under 220-105

CHI -9.5+296

0.5u

10 seeds are 2-8 SU in the play-in, 7 of 8 losses by double digits, avg margin of defeat 15 pts. Bulls heavy 3s = variance in outcome, and these 10 seeds are letting go of the rope. Let's have a little fun with some bad games https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-play-in-tournament-betting-trends-stats-notes

CHI -1-105

0.6u

2.24% ev

D.Mitchell o18.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

0.55u

2.38% ev

C.White o31.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+106

0.8u

3.45% ev

CHI -115

1.15u

J.Giddey o37.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

0.5u

Tailing @JoeDellera but at 37.5 PRA, which is what’s available to me.

J.Giddey Triple-Double Yes+270

0.1u

J.Giddey o36.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-114

0.88u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-props-for-bulls-vs-heat-on-wednesday-april-16-qs

B.Adebayo o18.5 Pts-120

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-props-for-bulls-vs-heat-on-wednesday-april-16-qs

K.Ware o8.5 Rebs+105

1.58u

6.52% ev

Over 219-110

1.1u

CHI -115

1.15u

⁃ The Bulls have won each of their last nine night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record. ⁃ The Heat have lost each of their last 11 games as underdogs following a home loss. ⁃ The Bulls have covered the spread in each of their last nine night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record. ⁃ The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven night games against Central Division opponents that held a losing record.

J.Giddey o19.5 Pts+150

4.2u

17% ev

T.Herro u5.5 Ast+108

0.86u

3.4% ev

K.Huerter o2.5 3pt M+122

0.6u

2.77% ev

CHI -1-110

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No props found

NBA Public Betting

Bulls are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Bulls are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bulls are 1-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Bulls' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Bulls' 4 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bulls	5-1	4-0	1-1	1-0	4-1
Heat	39-42-1	22-19	17-23-1	21-24	18-18-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bulls	4-2	3-1	1-1	1-0	3-2
Heat	44-38	25-16	19-22	26-19	18-19

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bulls	5-1	N/A	N/A	1-0	4-1
Heat	0-4	N/A	N/A	26-19	11-26

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 13th	@PHI	W 122-102	-8 W	U 237	CHI -310
Apr 12th	WAS	W 119-89	-14 W	U 236.5	CHI -820
Apr 10th	MIA	W 119-111	+2 W	O 227.5	CHI +110
Apr 8th	@CLE	L 113-135	+15 L	O 240	CLE +750
Apr 6th	@CHA	W 131-117	-8.5 W	O 230.5	CHI -350

Norman Powell
SG
Norman Powell (groin) out Sunday.
Out
Tyler Herro
SG
Herro is out with ankle
Out
Kasparas Jakucionis
PG
Jakucionis is out with groin
Out

Zach Collins
PF
Collins is out with hand
Out
Coby White
SG
Coby White (calf) to be re-evaluated in two weeks. Will miss Wednesday's season opener.
Out
Ayo Dosunmu
SG
Ayo Dosunmu (quad) out Sunday.
Out