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Bears vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Predictions - October 6, 2023

Bears at Commanders

12:15 am • Amazon Prime Video

Chicago Bears

0-0-1
40
40 - 20

Washington Commanders

0-1
20

Bears at Commanders Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Bears
0-0-1
+6-110
o44.5-115
+205
Commanders
0-1
-6-110
u44.5-110
-255
location pinFriday 12:15 a.m.
October 06, 2023
Northwest StadiumLandover
Bears vs. Commanders Expert Picks
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 41-64-0 (-22.3u)
K.Curl o7.5 Tackles + Ast+110
1u
T.Edmunds o7.5 Tackles + Ast-125
0.8u
Milly Props
Milly Props
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Fields o199.5 Pass Yds+1578
7.89u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.0u)
Under 51.5 (Live)-110
1u
I see the Commanders offense being stagnant
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-3.0u)
WAS -2.5 (Live)-111
1.67u
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 8-18-0 (+0.2u)
D.Moore o3.5 Recs-155
0.26u
B.Robinson Anytime TD Scorer-120
0.2u
Royals Props
Royals Props
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
E.Hicks o4.5 Tackles + Ast-113
1.13u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 127-138-9 (-19.3u)
CHI +315
1.58u
Boost
CHI +6-110
0.91u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.0u)
R.Johnson o5.5 Rush Att-115
1u
We love Johnson around here… pause
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 8-18-0 (+0.2u)
WAS o25.5-110
0.4u
Nick Martin
Nick Martin
Last 30d: 2-2-0 (-0.5u)
Chicago D Anytime TD Scorer+850
0.1u
@nick_giffen
Kevin Thomas
Kevin Thomas
Last 30d: 14-6-0 (+8.3u)
Over 45-112
0.89u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 23-48-1 (-3.7u)
K.Herbert o12.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 29-48-3 (-0.1u)
CHI +6-110
0.23u
RIP Mr Butkus
Nick Martin
Nick Martin
Last 30d: 2-2-0 (-0.5u)
CHI +6-112
0.89u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 138-166-6 (-3.0u)
J.Fields o48.5 Rush Yds-110
0.5u
Greg DiNardo
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 44.5-115
1u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.0u)
Under 45-110
1u
Bears (4-0) to the over - dark magic play
Chase Holden
Chase Holden
Last 30d: 2-4-0 (-1.0u)
Under 45-105
1.1u
Tail it or don’t. I don’t care.
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 138-166-6 (-3.0u)
C.Samuel u32.5 Rec Yds-110
0.55u
T.McLaurin o57.5 Rec Yds-115
0.58u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.0u)
CHI +220
1.1u
Dick Butkus would want me to place this bet
Chase Holden
Chase Holden
Last 30d: 2-4-0 (-1.0u)
Chicago D Anytime TD Scorer+700
0.5u
Tailing @nick_giffen with his D play but on DK with ST.
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 44.5-112
1u
Chicago D Anytime TD Scorer+674
0.25u
Washington D Anytime TD Scorer+500
0.25u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 14-36-0 (+10.5u)
Chicago D Anytime TD Scorer+850
0.25u
Sam Howell owns his stack rate and his bad ball rate, both of which are bottom 5 in the NFL and WAS passes 2nd most vs expected in NFL Even bad Ds have forced plays against him including an AZ sack/fumble/TD and 4 bad balls+4 sacks vs Denver. Note this only wins with D. Not ST.
Chase Holden
Chase Holden
Last 30d: 2-4-0 (-1.0u)
J.Fields First Touchdown Scorer+1000
0.75u
C.Kmet First Touchdown Scorer+1800
0.35u
L.Thomas First Touchdown Scorer+1600
0.5u
Like Tight Ends tonight.
J.Fields Anytime TD Scorer+175
1.2u
Feels right.
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CHI +6-105
1u
Action Island
Action Island
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Moore Anytime TD Scorer Yes+210
2.1u
@GDAWG5000
J.Dotson o3.5 Recs-110
1u
@The_Oddsmaker
Chicago D Anytime TD Scorer Yes+800
1u
@nick_giffen
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 9-19-2 (-20.1u)
CHI +6-105
2u
Green Dot Daily
Green Dot Daily
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Moore Anytime TD Scorer+220
2.2u
@GDAWG5000
C.Samuel Anytime TD Scorer+275
2.75u
@GDAWG5000
D.Moore o21.5 Longest Reception-114
0.88u
@The_Oddsmaker
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 77-62-4 (+3.5u)
Under 45-110
1u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 51-45-3 (+1.9u)
J.Fields o189.5 Pass Yds-110
1u
Anders
Anders
Last 30d: 7-8-0 (-4.9u)
CHI +6.5-110
1u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 11-10-1 (-0.7u)
K.Herbert u48.5 Rush Yds-110
1u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 29-48-3 (-0.1u)
C.Samuel o31.5 Rec Yds-110
0.45u
Over in 3/4 this season with 50+ in all 3 overs. 67% hit rate the last two seasons overall averaging 39.7.
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 10-12-0 (-0.9u)
D.Moore o21.5 Longest Reception-114
1u
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+1.0u)
CHI +3.5 (1H)-110
0.45u
S.Howell u243.5 Pass Yds-115
1u
Under 44.5-110
1u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-3.0u)
J.Fields First Touchdown Scorer+950
0.74u
J.Fields Anytime TD Scorer+180
1u
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Fields o189.5 Pass Yds-110
0.91u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 11-10-1 (-0.7u)
C.Samuel o31.5 Rec Yds-110
0.91u
Scott Pritchard
Scott Pritchard
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CHI +6-110
0.91u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.0u)
T.Edwards o8.5 Tackles + Ast-130
0.77u
Edward likes to tackle people
B.St-Juste o4.5 Tackles + Ast+124
1u
I hear this Token dude is a pretty cool guy
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-3.0u)
Over 44.5-110
2u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
B.Robinson o64.5 Rush Yds-130
0.65u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.0u)
S.Howell o14.5 Rush Yds-120
1.25u
Y’all already know what’s going on
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 23-48-1 (-3.7u)
J.Fields o45.5 Rush Yds-115
0.87u
FTN Fantasy
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 62-62-1 (+1.1u)
B.Robinson o65.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
Follow all my picks at FTNBets.com!
Stephen Young
Stephen Young
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
B.Robinson o65.5 Rush Yds-110
1u
D.Moore o50.5 Rec Yds-115
0.87u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 1-5-0 (-2.0u)
C.Samuel Anytime TD Scorer+275
2.75u
Bet at Bet365. Gets RZ carries and targets. Bears defense has allowed 4 TD from backfield on passes and 5 TD to WR this season. Like Dotson too.
D.Moore Anytime TD Scorer+220
2.2u
Bet at Bet365. Would play to +200.
Milly Props
Milly Props
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Moore o20.5 Longest Reception-114
0.88u
Royals Props
Royals Props
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
A.Gibson o12.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
Green Dot Daily
Green Dot Daily
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
B.Robinson Anytime TD Scorer-150
0.75u
Via Meghan Payton
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
B.Robinson o15.5 Rush Att-125
1.25u
MGM. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-bet-brian-robinson-jr-on-thursday-night-football?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=propbetguy
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 11-10-1 (-0.7u)
J.Fields o189.5 Pass Yds-111
0.9u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 1-5-0 (-2.0u)
J.Fields o0.5 Int-125
1.25u
Bet at Bet365. Up to -150 at other books. This is a bit rich for an INT prop but so many signs that it will happen. Fields has thrown INT in 20/28 games he’s started (71%). He also threw a pick vs WAS when they played last year. Fields passing attempts have picked up, which is great for INT prop. Has an INT in 5 of 6 games in his career when he’s thrown 30+ times. Commanders get lot of pressure from D-Line which means quick decisions from Fields.
Royals Props
Royals Props
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CHI +210
1.05u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 94-116-4 (-20.4u)
CHI +7-122
0.82u
Brian Matthews
Brian Matthews
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
B.Robinson Anytime TD Scorer+115
0.5u
(0.5u) Brian Robinson has scored a touchdown in three straight games, and gets a nice matchup with the Bears in a game where the two teams should play it fairly close, or at least Washington is expected to be leading. I like for Washington to keep feeding Robinson near the goal line. This is -120 on other books currently.
Royals Props
Royals Props
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CHI +6-115
1u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
WAS -4.5-115
1.15u

PRO Insights

Bears logo

Bears

CHI Insights
  • Featured Insight
    Bears logoThe Bears averaged 506 yards from scrimmage per game (506 YFS / 1 G) last week -- best in NFL. The Commanders allowed an average of 423.0 yards from scrimmage per game (423/1) last week -- sixth-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Commanders logo

Commanders

WAS Insights
  • Featured Insight
    Commanders logoCommanders TEs have 22 receptions in 4 games (5.5 per game) this season -- tied for ninth-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed 5.5 receptions per game to TEs this season -- tied for sixth-worst in NFL.
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Bears vs. Commanders Previews & Analysis

  • Action Network's NFL Week 5 Betting Primer (Sunday Update) article feature image

    Action Network's NFL Week 5 Betting Primer (Sunday Update)

    Evan Abrams•
    Oct 8, 2023 UTC
  • Gallant's 2 Anytime Touchdown Picks for TNF article feature image

    Gallant's 2 Anytime Touchdown Picks for TNF

    Gilles Gallant•
    Oct 5, 2023 UTC
  • Our Best Bets for Thursday Night Football article feature image

    Our Best Bets for Thursday Night Football

    Action Network Staff•
    Oct 5, 2023 UTC
  • Koerner's Bears vs. Commanders Breakdown article feature image

    Koerner's Bears vs. Commanders Breakdown

    Sean Koerner•
    Oct 5, 2023 UTC
See more NFL Coverage Right Arrow

Bears vs. Commanders Props

Prop Projections

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Bears vs. Commanders Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Bears

Public

Home Logo

Commanders

68%

Bets%

32%

Money%

NFL Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Commanders are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
  • Commanders are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Commanders are 3-4 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Commanders' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Commanders' 9 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Commanders		10-6-17-23-4-17-43-2-1
Bears		9-7-15-2-13-53-16-6-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Commanders		11-66-35-36-55-1
Bears		7-104-42-62-25-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Commanders		12-5N/AN/A9-23-3
Bears		5-12N/AN/A3-12-11

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Oct 1st@PHIL 31-34+8.5 WO 43PHI +350
Sep 24thBUFL 3-37+5.5 LU 44BUF +195
Sep 17th@DENW 35-33+4 WO 38.5WAS +156
Sep 10thARIW 20-16-7 LU 38WAS -310
Aug 26thCINW 21-19-3 LO 34.5WAS -164

Commanders vs. Bears Injury Updates

Commanders Injuries

  • Antonio Hamilton
    CB

    Hamilton is out with quad

    Out

  • Essang Bassey
    CB

    Bassey is questionable with concussion

    Questionable

Bears Injuries

    See more NFL Injuries Right Arrow
    Team Stats

    Total

    451
    Total Yards
    388
    64
    Total Plays
    66
    7
    Yards Per Play
    5.9

    Passing

    282
    YDS
    388
    15/29
    Comps/Atts
    37/51
    8.531
    YPA
    6.411
    4/0
    TDs/INTs
    2/1
    3/9
    Sacks/Yards
    5/29

    Rushing

    178
    Rush Yards
    29
    32
    Attempts
    10
    5.563
    YPC
    2.9
    0
    TDs
    0

    Turnovers

    0
    Fumbles Lost
    1
    0
    Interceptions
    1

    Efficiency

    3/6 50%
    Redzone
    2/3 66.67%
    7/15 0%
    3rd Down
    6/12 0%
    1/1 0%
    4th Down
    0/1 0%

    First Downs

    18
    Total
    23
    9
    Pass
    21
    9
    Rush
    1
    0
    Penalty
    1

    Misc

    3/35
    Penalties/Yards
    1/5
    30:04
    Possession
    29:56

    Bears vs. Commanders Odds Comparison

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    Bears at Commanders Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Bears
    0-0-1
    o19.5-118
    u19.5+102
    Commanders
    0-1
    o26.5-105
    u26.5-115