Colts vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Predictions - November 12, 2023
Colts at Patriots
2:30 pm • NFL NetworkColts at Patriots Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Colts 0-1 | -2 | -1.5-111 | o42.5-107 | -120 |
 Patriots 1-0 | u43 | +1.5-109 | u42.5-110 | +100 |
Colts vs. Patriots Expert Picks
Raheem Palmer
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NE +4 (Live)-110
1.1u
Ringer wise guys
NE +4.5 (Live)-110
1u
Ringer wise guys
NE +200 (Live)
1u
Ringer wise guys
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 22-48-1 (-4.7u)
J.Taylor o18.5 Rec Yds-135
1u
Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.9u)
NE +2-110
1u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 14-36-0 (+10.5u)
IND u22.5-105
1u
#LuckRankings
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 76-61-4 (+3.5u)
NE +2-110
1u
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-3.0u)
IND -2-112
1u
Simon Hunter
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+1.0u)
NE +2-107
0.5u
Hate this game
Over 43.5-107
0.5u
Hate this game
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 94-114-4 (-18.9u)
M.Jones o4.5 Rush Yds-124
0.81u
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 10-12-0 (-0.9u)
R.Thomas u3.5 Tackles + Ast-125
1u
Sunday Six Pack
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NE +1.5-110
1.1u
Raybon 1
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-0.5u)
IND -1.5-111
0.45u
Kevin Thomas
Last 30d: 14-6-0 (+8.3u)
NE +2-107
1u
Bruce Marshall
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NE +1.5-110
1u
Brian Edwards
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
IND -122
0.82u
Greg Matherne
Last 30d: 8-19-0 (+2.6u)
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 14-36-0 (+10.5u)
Under 43.5-110
1u
#LuckRankings
Chad Millman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 43.5-110
0.91u
@nick_giffen is the luck master and he says this is a big luck under.
Nico Terpak
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
IND -1.5-110
$100.00
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 20-46-0 (-10.7u)
IND -1.5-110
0.91u
Available at FanDuel. There has been some movement toward the Patriots here, so it's possible you can get a better number later. I do think the Colts are a good value, though, so I would disagree with that movement if it were to take place. Gardner Minshew has averaged 0.01 Passing NEP per drop back (numberFire's EPA metric) this year, which isn't great -- but it does top Mac Jones' mark of -0.12. That number is unadjusted for opponent, and the Colts have faced a pretty decent level of competition on defense thus far. They've also maintained their early-down rushing efficiency even without Anthony Richardson thanks to Jonathan Taylor and Zack Moss. The Patriots played better than their result in Week 9, but they're still just 28th in my model's offensive power rankings. I also think the under is very much in play here, but I prefer the Colts' side by a smidge.
Raheem Palmer
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
IND -1.5-110
1u
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
IND -1.5-104
1u
PRO Insights
Colts
IND Insights
- Featured InsightThe Patriots have thrown for 20+ yards on 8 of 136 attempts since Week 5 -- tied for fourth-worst in NFL. The Colts allowed 20+ yards on 7.0% of attempts since Week 5 -- tied for eighth-best in NFL.
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Patriots
NE Insights
- Featured InsightThe Colts have been successful on 39.0% of plays they have run this season -- tied for seventh-worst in NFL. Patriots have allowed their opponents to be successful on 41.0% of plays this season -- tied for ninth-best in NFL.
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Colts vs. Patriots Previews & Analysis
Colts vs. Patriots Props
Prop Projections
There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Colts vs. Patriots Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Patriots are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Patriots are 2-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Patriots are 4-4 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Patriots' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Patriots' 8 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Team Stats
Colts vs. Patriots Odds Comparison
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Colts at Patriots Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Colts 0-1 | o21.5-105 | u21.5-115 |
Patriots 1-0 | o20.5-111 | u20.5-115 |