Colts vs. Texans Odds & Betting Predictions - October 27, 2024

Colts at Texans

5:00 pm • CBS

Indianapolis Colts

0-1

20 - 23

Houston Texans

0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Colts 0-1	+4	+5-112	o45-112	+195
Texans 0-1	u48	-5-108	u45-108	-238

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

October 27, 2024

NRG StadiumHouston

IND +7.5 (Live)-120

0.25u

IND +200

1.5u

IND +5-110

0.91u

I might be getting duped here we’ll see

HOU -3 (1H)+105

1.05u

HOU -4.5-112

1.12u

IND +5-105

1.9u

👸

IND +5-110

J.Mixon o77.5 Rush Yds-113

0.88u

Colts are allowing the 3rd most rushing yards per game (125.14)

HOU -4.5-110

1.1u

IND +5.5-110

S.Diggs Anytime TD Scorer Yes+135

@TheBMatt

S.Diggs 2+ TDs Yes+1100

0.25u

@TheBMatt

IND +5-110

S.Diggs o5.5 Recs-108

0.54u

S.Diggs 2+ TDs Yes+1100

0.25u

IND +5-110

0.91u

S.Diggs Anytime TD Scorer Yes+140

Mild bet for The Touchdown Show

IND +5-115

0.87u

@SimonHunterNFL

A.Richardson o227.5 Pass + Rush Yds-114

1.14u

HOU -4.5-110

2.2u

IND o20.5+105

J.Taylor Anytime TD Scorer Yes+109

1.36u

30% boost

A.Richardson u16.5 Pass Comp-125

S.Diggs o59.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

S.Diggs o5.5 Recs-110

J.Mixon o77.5 Rush Yds-113

C.Stroud o236.5 Pass Yds-104

0.96u

S.Diggs o59.5 Rec Yds-110

0.91u

C.Stroud u0.5 Int-142

0.7u

After a down passing game vs GB, a much better defense, this looks like a solid bounce back spot for Stroud. We could see a heavy ground game attack here so he doesn’t have to push the envelope. With that being said, Stroud is much better at home this season from a ball security perspective. Of his 4 picks, only 1 has been thrown at home this season. In 12 home games since last season, he has only thrown an interception in 3 of them. IND is allowing just the 20th highest turnover-worthy throw %. He also did not throw an INT in game one vs IND this year and did not in 2 games last season. IND is a defense that does not create a good pass rush (ranked 22nd) and despite grading out as a solid coverage unit, they only have 4 interceptions total on the season. I expect Stroud to be careful with the ball here and if this game gets out of hand early, we could see them lean on the rushing attack.

J.Mixon o77.5 Rush Yds-113

0.88u

J. Mixon 'O' 77.5 Rushing Yards (-113 @ FanDuel) This looks great for Mixon who had 159 rushing yards on 30 carries in week one vs this IND team. He has cleared 100 yards in 3 of his 4 games this season. How have the recent RB’s fared? Achane (without Tua)(15 for 77) and Bigsby (13 for 101, 2 TD’s). They also gave up a massive rushing game to Jacobs (32 for 151) in week 2 as well. IND has allowed the 2nd most rushing yards per game this season, along with the 10th highest yards after contact per attempt (2.4). Mixon primarily runs in the zone rushing scheme and IND allows the 10th highest success rate in zone compared to the 16th highest in man/gap. All signs point to another high usage productive day for Mixon here. The first meeting between these two was close, but with how good TEX can be at home, we will likely see a positive game script here. All signs point to another big Mixon game.

J.Mixon o17.5 Rush Att-105

J.Mixon o77.5 Rush Yds-113

100+ in 3/4 games, with the only miss in the game vs CHI that he got banged up. The Colts have been gashed on the ground - allowing 115+ rush yards to RBs the L3 weeks, and Mixon chopped them up for 159 yards in week 1. Opposing teams have averaged 74 plays in Anthony Richardson’s four full games - Texans should dominate the ball, and love the potential for them to keep the game in a positive to neutral gamescript.

IND +6-110

Exec Decision

A.Richardson u16.5 Pass Comp-117

C.Stroud o1.5 Pass TDs-105

1.05u

S.Diggs o62.5 Rec Yds-115

IND +5-114

0.88u

IND +184

0.5u

IND +5-112

S.Diggs o63.5 Rec Yds-115

IND +6-110

0.91u

@millmanc

IND +6.5-115

Model makes this +4.41

IND +6.5-110

0.5u

IND +6.5-110

0.91u

Week 8 Hot Read 🔥

IND +6.5-110

0.45u

Featured Insight
The Colts have allowed at least 5 yards on 40.0% of first down plays this season -- T-8th-best in NFL; the Texans have gained at least 5 yards on 37.0% of first down plays this season -- T-3rd-worst in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

Featured Insight
The Texans have rushed for 531 yards since Week 4 -- 8th-most in NFL; the Colts have allowed 582 yards rushing since Week 4 -- 6th-most in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Texans are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Texans are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Texans are 4-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Texans' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Texans' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Texans	7-10	3-5	4-5	4-7	3-3
Colts	9-8	5-3	4-5	3-4	6-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Texans	6-11	1-7	5-4	4-7	2-4
Colts	9-7-1	5-3	4-4-1	4-3	5-4-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Texans	10-7	N/A	N/A	9-2	1-5
Colts	8-9	N/A	N/A	5-2	3-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 20th	@GB	L 22-24	+3 W	U 47.5	GB +150
Oct 13th	@NE	W 41-21	-6.5 W	O 39.5	HOU -270
Oct 6th	BUF	W 23-20	-2 W	U 48	HOU -125
Sep 29th	JAC	W 24-20	-5.5 L	U 44.5	HOU -230
Sep 22nd	@MIN	L 7-34	-1.5 L	U 46.5	MIN -118

Colts

Total

Texans

303

Total Yards

363

Total Plays

4.8

Yards Per Play

5.3

Colts

Passing

Texans

175

YDS

285

10/32

Comps/Atts

25/37

3.784

YPA

6.846

1/1

TDs/INTs

1/0

5/35

Sacks/Yards

2/18

Colts

Rushing

Texans

163

Rush Yards

Attempts

6.269

YPC

3.31

TDs

Colts

Turnovers

Texans

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Colts

Efficiency

Texans

1/2 50%

Redzone

2/6 33.33%

2/13 0%

3rd Down

4/13 0%

2/2 0%

4th Down

0/0 0%

Colts

First Downs

Texans

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Colts

Misc

Texans

9/57

Penalties/Yards

5/30

24:40

Possession

35:20

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MatchupOverUnder
Colts 0-1	o19.5-125	u19.5+105
Texans 0-1	o24.5-112	u24.5-108

Colts vs. Texans Odds & Betting Predictions - October 27, 2024

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Colts

Public

Texans

Bets%

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