Cowboys vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Predictions - December 25, 2025

Cowboys at Commanders

6:00 pm • Netflix

Dallas Cowboys

30

30 - 23

Washington Commanders

23

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cowboys 7-9-1	+5.5	-8.5-115	o50.5-112	-480
Commanders 5-12	u48.5	+8.5-105	u50.5-108	+380

location pin

Thursday 6:00 p.m.

December 25, 2025

Northwest StadiumLandover

T.McLaurin o49.5 Rec Yds (Live)-115

1u

Under 59.5 (Live)-115

1u

DAL -8.5-108

1.08u

T.Diggs u3.5 Tackles + Ast+105

0.5u

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

T.Diggs u3.5 Tackles + Ast+105

0.53u

He’s cleared this in 4 of the 6 full games he’s played in this season and coming off a season high 6 tackle game against the Chargers. However, the Cowboys have faced an average of 25.3 completions in those games, but I’m only projecting them to face ~17.5 today. That lowers his tackle upside quite a bit and have him mixing in on ~2 completions and 1.2 run tackles here with around a 60% chance he stays just under 3.5

WAS +9.5-110

0.91u

#RLM

DAL -8.5-105

2u

C.Lamb Anytime TD Scorer Yes+122

1.8u

H.Luepke Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1000

0.3u

J.Johnson o279.5 Pass Yds+1000

0.1u

J.Johnson o239.5 Pass Yds+301

0.1u

J.Johnson o259.5 Pass Yds+450

0.1u

J.Johnson o180.5 Pass Yds-120

0.5u

J.Johnson 220+ Passing Yards Yes+196

0.1u

J.Williams 6+ Receptions Yes+2700

0.1u

Merry Christmas!

C.Lamb Anytime TD Scorer Yes+125

0.8u

DAL -8.5-110

1u

Join Discord: https://discord.gg/NcyhmJVXPe

J.Johnson o185.5 Pass Yds-110

1.36u

Sling rock

C.Lamb Anytime TD Scorer Yes+110

$1.00

💿 🐑

C.Lamb o81.5 Rec Yds-110

$1.10

C.Lamb 100+ Receiving Yards Yes+180

$1.00

DAL -8.5-110

1u

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J.Johnson o16.5 Rush Yds-113

1.13u

DAL -8-110

1.1u

D.Prescott u38.5 Longest Completion-115

0.58u

Tailing @nick_giffen

J.Williams 4+ Receptions Yes+525

0.1u

🪜

J.Williams 5+ Receptions Yes+1100

0.1u

🪜

J.Williams 3+ Receptions Yes+195

0.25u

🪜

D.Prescott u38.5 Longest Completion-115

1.15u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-christmas-games-predictions-picks-props-parlays-full-thursday-preview

J.Williams o1.5 Recs-155

1u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-christmas-games-predictions-picks-props-parlays-full-thursday-preview

Under 50.5-110

1.1u

J.Johnson 275+ Passing Yards Yes+875

0.15u

Check Christmas game guide for logic! 🎄

J.Johnson 300+ Passing Yards Yes+1600

0.15u

Check Christmas game guide for logic! 🎄

J.Johnson o39.5 Pass Att+1200

0.25u

Check Christmas game guide for logic! 🎄

DAL -19.5+340

0.25u

Check Christmas game guide for logic! 🎄

J.Johnson 25+ Rushing Yards Yes+194

0.15u

Check Christmas game guide for logic! 🎄

J.Johnson 40+ Rushing Yards Yes+700

0.15u

Check Christmas game guide for logic! 🎄

DAL -14.5+186

0.25u

Check Christmas game guide for logic! 🎄

J.Ferguson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150

0.75u

Check Christmas game guide for logic! 🎄

J.Johnson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+640

0.25u

Check Christmas game guide for logic! 🎄

DAL -7-110

1u

J.Johnson u11.5 Longest Rush-130

0.5u

Tailing @ChrisRaybon

J.Johnson u22.5 Rush Yds-110

0.91u

J.Johnson u11.5 Longest Rush-130

0.77u

D.Samuel 60+ Receiving Yards Yes+199

1.99u

Needs 61 for $250k. DAL 31st DVOA vs WR2s

DAL -7.5-110

1.1u

This number is running. I’ve seen one sharp book shoot this up to -10. Grabbing the 7.5 just in case the retail books copy the action.

Under 25.5 (1H)-110

1.1u

G.Pickens Anytime TD Scorer Yes+135

0.5u

@The_Oddsmaker https://myaction.app/oIyNoZLxmZb

T.Burks Anytime TD Scorer Yes+440

0.5u

@The_Oddsmaker https://myaction.app/oIyNoZLxmZb

J.Ferguson First Touchdown Scorer Yes+1000

1.1u

T.McLaurin o50.5 Rec Yds-116

1u

T.McLaurin o50.5 Rec Yds-117

0.85u

D.Samuel Anytime TD Scorer Yes+230

0.5u

DAL -6.5-110

0.09u

🚀Become a Pro Bettor in 7-Days! (Link in Bio)

Under 50.5-105

1.05u

Open Air Unders: Divisional Drift Overall: 546-422-12,56% (ROI:9%) Season:23-20-0,53% (ROI:3%)

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NFL Public Betting

Commanders are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Commanders are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Commanders are 3-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Commanders' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Commanders' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Commanders	7-10	4-4	3-5	2-1	5-9
Cowboys	7-10	4-4	3-6	2-8	5-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Commanders	10-6-1	6-1-1	4-4	1-1-1	9-5
Cowboys	13-4	6-2	7-2	8-2	5-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Commanders	5-12	N/A	N/A	2-1	3-11
Cowboys	7-9-1	N/A	N/A	4-6	3-3-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Dec 20th	PHI	L 18-29	+7 L	O 43.5	PHI +287
Dec 14th	@NYG	W 29-21	+2.5 W	O 45.5	WAS +130
Dec 7th	@MIN	L 0-31	+1.5 L	U 43.5	MIN -105
Dec 1st	DEN	L 26-27	+6 W	O 43.5	DEN +240
Nov 16th	@MIA	L 13-16	+2.5 L	U 47.5	MIA +130

Marcus Mariota
QB
Mariota is out with hand
Out
Zach Ertz
TE
Ertz is out with knee
Out
Noah Brown
WR
Brown is out with ribs
Out
Austin Ekeler
RB
Ekeler is out with achilles
Out
Jayden Daniels
QB
Daniels is out with elbow
Out
Luke McCaffrey
WR
McCaffrey is out with collarbone
Out
Jaylin Lane
WR
Lane is out with ankle
Out

Miles Sanders
RB
Sanders is out with ankle
Out
Javonte Williams
RB
Williams is out with shoulder
Out
Malik Davis
RB
Davis is out with eye
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Total

480

Total Yards

328

87

Total Plays

41

5.5

Yards Per Play

8

Passing

307

YDS

198

19/37

Comps/Atts

15/23

6.256

YPA

7.6

2/0

TDs/INTs

0/0

6/38

Sacks/Yards

2/8

Rushing

211

Rush Yards

138

44

Attempts

16

4.795

YPC

8.625

1

TDs

2

Turnovers

0

Fumbles Lost

0

0

Interceptions

0

Efficiency

2/2 100%

Redzone

1/3 33.33%

8/20 0%

3rd Down

1/6 0%

6/6 0%

4th Down

0/0 0%

First Downs

28

Total

17

13

Pass

10

10

Rush

4

5

Penalty

3

Misc

11/89

Penalties/Yards

10/71

38:44

Possession

21:16

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MatchupOverUnder
Cowboys 7-9-1	o30.5-105	u30.5-120
Commanders 5-12	o20.5-110	u20.5-115