Dolphins vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - November 3, 2024

Dolphins at Bills

6:00 pm • CBS

Miami Dolphins

8-9

27 - 30

Buffalo Bills

2-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dolphins 8-9	+3	+6.5-108	o49-112	+240
Bills 2-1	u51	-6.5-115	u49-108	-298

Sunday 6:00 p.m.

November 03, 2024

Highmark StadiumOrchard Park

BUF -150 (Live)

0.17u

MIA +6.5-110

0.91u

#ProSystem Buy low on bad ats teams Overall: 122-58-1,68% (ROI:31%) Season:8-4-0,67% (ROI:28%)

J.Cook o13.5 Rec Yds+100

20% boost

MIA +6.5-110

Sorry @SimonHunterNFL

MIA +6.5-110

MIA +6-110

1.82u

👸

T.Tagovailoa o0.5 Int-130

Tua had thrown an interception in 5/8 games vs Buffalo in his career. 5 Ints in 4 career games in Buffalo

BUF -6-110

0.4u

R.Mostert Anytime TD Scorer Yes+190

@TheBMatt

J.Waddle 2+ TDs Yes+1900

0.25u

@GDAWG5000

BUF -6.5-110

1.1u

BUF -6-110

1.1u

Proj: -7.9. For more, check out Fantasy Life.

BUF -5.5-120

T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150

1.5u

BUF -6-110

@SimonHunterNFL

R.Mostert Anytime TD Scorer Yes+190

Medium bet for The TD show

Over 49-112

R.Mostert u30.5 Rush Yds-120

Rush Yds

I don't usually bet on the weekends but I didn't have much time this week to get NFL stuff in during the week so here's a few last minute wagers for me. Tailing sharp.

D.Kincaid o40.5 Rec Yds-110

Snowman x Mjay collab

D.Achane Anytime TD Scorer Yes+125

1.88u

K.Shakir o48.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

J.Allen 3+ Passing Touchdowns Yes+340

1.7u

BUF -5.5-120

1.2u

J.Allen o1.5 Pass TDs-115

Under 49.5-110

1.1u

D.Achane o3.5 Recs-155

0.65u

MIA +3.5 (1H)-110

BUF -5.5-120

@gogo_dino Best Bet

J.Smith u15.5 Longest Reception-120

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-prop-picks-today-for-david-montgomery-jonnu-smith-more

BUF -6-115

1.15u

MIA +6.5-110

1.5u

D.Achane o4.5 Recs-118

1.5u

BUF -6.5-111

1.11u

K.Shakir u20.5 Longest Reception-115

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-week-9-bets-for-nick-chubb-tyrone-tracy-dak-prescott-khalil-shakir-more

C.Campbell u3.5 Tackles + Ast-105

1.05u

My model is showing a ton of red flags for his tackle opportunities against the Bills. We already saw this back in Week 2 when he only managed one tackle against them on TNF.

D.Achane o35.5 Rec Yds-110

1.36u

D.Achane 7+ Receptions Yes+500

1.25u

Achane escalator SZN

D.Achane 70+ Receiving Yards Yes+575

0.25u

Achane escalator SZN

D.Achane o3.5 Recs-118

0.64u

TAN pod / best bets

D.Achane o32.5 Rec Yds-111

0.68u

TAN pod / best bets

D.Achane 50+ Receiving Yards Yes+215

1.08u

TAN pod / best bets

T.Tagovailoa o5.5 Rush Yds-125

1.25u

J.Allen o11.5 Longest Rush-102

BUF -6.5-110

1.1u

Exec Decision

T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+165

D.Achane o33.5 Rec Yds-114

D.Achane o47.5 Rush Yds-117

J.Waddle 2+ TDs Yes+1900

0.25u

J.Waddle Anytime TD Scorer Yes+230

2.3u

R.Mostert o4.5 Rec Yds-129

0.78u

D.Achane o49.5 Rec Yds+320

1.12u

50+ alternative receiving yards. Ladder

D.Achane o28.5 Rec Yds-110

The Bills two deep zone defense has created some big days for pass catching backs (including Achane who had 7 receptions for 69 yards in their first meeting this season) Justice Hill - 78 rec yards Achane- 69 rec yards Breece Hall - 56 rec yards Dare Ogunbowale - 57 rec yards Kenneth Walker III - 33 rec yards Not just that, the return of Tua was very big for Achanne and the spacing of the Dolphins offense. Achanne has at least 6 receptions and 50 receiving yards in the 3 full games he’s played with Tua, but only topped 25 rec yards in 1 of the 4 games w/o Tua. 3 games w/ Tua: - 7 receptions/76 rec yards (vs. Jax) - 7 receptions/69 rec yards (vs. BUF) - 6 receptions/50 rec yards (vs. ARI)

BUF -6.5-110

1.1u

Model makes this -8. TUA 3-8–1 ATS away from home vs “winning record teams”. Tua 1-6 vs Josh Allen SU

BUF -6-110

0.55u

BUF -6.5-105

Was encouraged by Tua last week, but the Bills are just too good. Have them favored by almost nine points here.

MIA +6-110

BUF -6-115

0.75u

Featured Insight
The Dolphins have scored 6.7 points per game in the first quarter since Week 5 -- 5th-best in NFL; the Bills have allowed 6.8 PPG in the first quarter since Week 5 -- T-3rd-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Bills defense has allowed scores on 30% of opponent drives this season -- 5th-best in NFL; the Dolphins have scored on 27% of their drives this season -- T-3rd-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bills are 5-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bills' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Bills' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	10-7	5-3	5-4	8-5	2-2
Dolphins	7-10	3-5	4-5	4-5	3-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bills	11-6	6-2	5-4	10-3	1-3
Dolphins	8-9	6-2	2-7	5-4	3-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	13-4	N/A	N/A	11-2	2-2
Dolphins	8-9	N/A	N/A	6-3	2-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 27th	@SEA	W 31-10	-3 W	U 45.5	BUF -165
Oct 20th	TEN	W 34-10	-9.5 W	O 41	BUF -550
Oct 15th	@NYJ	W 23-20	-1.5 W	O 41.5	BUF -140
Oct 6th	@HOU	L 20-23	+2 L	U 48	HOU +105
Sep 30th	@BAL	L 10-35	+3 L	U 47.5	BAL +125

Taylor Rapp
S
Rapp is out with back
Out
Darrynton Evans
RB
Evans is out with hamstring
Out
Joshua Palmer
WR
Palmer is out with heel
Out

Christian Benford
CB
Benford is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Baylon Spector
LB
Spector is out with calf
Out

Terron Armstead
T
Armstead is questionable with knee
Questionable
Tyreek Hill
WR
Hill is questionable with wrist
Questionable
Artie Burns
CB
Burns is doubtful with toe
Doubtful
Bradley Chubb
LB
Chubb is questionable with knee
Questionable
Tua Tagovailoa
QB
Tagovailoa is doubtful with hip
Doubtful
Austin Jackson
OL
Jackson is out with knee
Out
Willie Gay
LB
Gay is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Blake Ferguson
LS
Ferguson is out with rest
Out
Jaylen Waddle
WR
Waddle is questionable with knee
Questionable
Dee Eskridge
WR
Eskridge is questionable with knee
Questionable
Ifeatu Melifonwu
S
Melifonwu is questionable with hand
Questionable
K.J. Britt
LB
Britt is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Cameron Goode
LB
Goode is questionable with knee
Questionable
Kader Kohou
CB
Kohou is questionable with back
Questionable

See more NFL Injuries

Dolphins

Total

Bills

373

Total Yards

325

Total Plays

6.2

Yards Per Play

5.5

Dolphins

Passing

Bills

231

YDS

235

25/28

Comps/Atts

25/39

7.724

YPA

5.775

2/0

TDs/INTs

3/1

1/7

Sacks/Yards

1/4

Dolphins

Rushing

Bills

149

Rush Yards

Attempts

4.806

YPC

4.947

TDs

Dolphins

Turnovers

Bills

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Dolphins

Efficiency

Bills

3/4 75%

Redzone

2/5 40%

4/8 0%

3rd Down

5/10 0%

1/1 0%

4th Down

1/1 0%

Dolphins

First Downs

Bills

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Dolphins

Misc

Bills

8/57

Penalties/Yards

4/40

31:53

Possession

28:07

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MatchupOverUnder
Dolphins 8-9	o20.5-112	u20.5-108
Bills 2-1	o27.5-122	u27.5+102

Dolphins vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - November 3, 2024

Dolphins at Bills

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Dolphins at Bills Odds

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Dolphins vs. Bills Previews & Analysis

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Public

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