Dolphins vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - November 3, 2024

Dolphins at Bills

6:00 pm • CBS

Miami Dolphins

0-0-1

27 - 30

Buffalo Bills

0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dolphins 0-0-1	+3	+6.5-108	o49-112	+240
Bills 0-1	u51	-6.5-115	u49-108	-298

Sunday 6:00 p.m.

November 03, 2024

Highmark StadiumOrchard Park

BUF -150 (Live)

0.17u

MIA +6.5-110

0.91u

#ProSystem Buy low on bad ats teams Overall: 122-58-1,68% (ROI:31%) Season:8-4-0,67% (ROI:28%)

J.Cook o13.5 Rec Yds+100

20% boost

MIA +6.5-110

Sorry @SimonHunterNFL

MIA +6.5-110

MIA +6-110

1.82u

👸

T.Tagovailoa o0.5 Int-130

Tua had thrown an interception in 5/8 games vs Buffalo in his career. 5 Ints in 4 career games in Buffalo

BUF -6-110

0.4u

R.Mostert Anytime TD Scorer Yes+190

@TheBMatt

J.Waddle 2+ TDs Yes+1900

0.25u

@GDAWG5000

BUF -6.5-110

1.1u

BUF -6-110

1.1u

Proj: -7.9. For more, check out Fantasy Life.

BUF -5.5-120

T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150

1.5u

BUF -6-110

@SimonHunterNFL

R.Mostert Anytime TD Scorer Yes+190

Medium bet for The TD show

Over 49-112

R.Mostert u30.5 Rush Yds-120

Rush Yds

I don't usually bet on the weekends but I didn't have much time this week to get NFL stuff in during the week so here's a few last minute wagers for me. Tailing sharp.

D.Kincaid o40.5 Rec Yds-110

Snowman x Mjay collab

D.Achane Anytime TD Scorer Yes+125

1.88u

K.Shakir o48.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

J.Allen 3+ Passing Touchdowns Yes+340

1.7u

BUF -5.5-120

1.2u

J.Allen o1.5 Pass TDs-115

Under 49.5-110

1.1u

D.Achane o3.5 Recs-155

0.65u

MIA +3.5 (1H)-110

BUF -5.5-120

@gogo_dino Best Bet

J.Smith u15.5 Longest Reception-120

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-prop-picks-today-for-david-montgomery-jonnu-smith-more

BUF -6-115

1.15u

MIA +6.5-110

1.5u

D.Achane o4.5 Recs-118

1.5u

BUF -6.5-111

1.11u

K.Shakir u20.5 Longest Reception-115

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-week-9-bets-for-nick-chubb-tyrone-tracy-dak-prescott-khalil-shakir-more

C.Campbell u3.5 Tackles + Ast-105

1.05u

My model is showing a ton of red flags for his tackle opportunities against the Bills. We already saw this back in Week 2 when he only managed one tackle against them on TNF.

D.Achane o35.5 Rec Yds-110

1.36u

D.Achane 7+ Receptions Yes+500

1.25u

Achane escalator SZN

D.Achane 70+ Receiving Yards Yes+575

0.25u

Achane escalator SZN

D.Achane o3.5 Recs-118

0.64u

TAN pod / best bets

D.Achane o32.5 Rec Yds-111

0.68u

TAN pod / best bets

D.Achane 50+ Receiving Yards Yes+215

1.08u

TAN pod / best bets

T.Tagovailoa o5.5 Rush Yds-125

1.25u

J.Allen o11.5 Longest Rush-102

BUF -6.5-110

1.1u

Exec Decision

T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+165

D.Achane o33.5 Rec Yds-114

D.Achane o47.5 Rush Yds-117

J.Waddle 2+ TDs Yes+1900

0.25u

J.Waddle Anytime TD Scorer Yes+230

2.3u

R.Mostert o4.5 Rec Yds-129

0.78u

D.Achane o49.5 Rec Yds+320

1.12u

50+ alternative receiving yards. Ladder

D.Achane o28.5 Rec Yds-110

The Bills two deep zone defense has created some big days for pass catching backs (including Achane who had 7 receptions for 69 yards in their first meeting this season) Justice Hill - 78 rec yards Achane- 69 rec yards Breece Hall - 56 rec yards Dare Ogunbowale - 57 rec yards Kenneth Walker III - 33 rec yards Not just that, the return of Tua was very big for Achanne and the spacing of the Dolphins offense. Achanne has at least 6 receptions and 50 receiving yards in the 3 full games he’s played with Tua, but only topped 25 rec yards in 1 of the 4 games w/o Tua. 3 games w/ Tua: - 7 receptions/76 rec yards (vs. Jax) - 7 receptions/69 rec yards (vs. BUF) - 6 receptions/50 rec yards (vs. ARI)

BUF -6.5-110

1.1u

Model makes this -8. TUA 3-8–1 ATS away from home vs “winning record teams”. Tua 1-6 vs Josh Allen SU

BUF -6-110

0.55u

BUF -6.5-105

Was encouraged by Tua last week, but the Bills are just too good. Have them favored by almost nine points here.

MIA +6-110

BUF -6-115

0.75u

Featured Insight
The Dolphins have scored 6.7 points per game in the first quarter since Week 5 -- 5th-best in NFL; the Bills have allowed 6.8 PPG in the first quarter since Week 5 -- T-3rd-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Bills defense has allowed scores on 30% of opponent drives this season -- 5th-best in NFL; the Dolphins have scored on 27% of their drives this season -- T-3rd-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bills are 5-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bills' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Bills' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	10-7	5-3	5-4	8-5	2-2
Dolphins	7-10	3-5	4-5	4-5	3-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bills	11-6	6-2	5-4	10-3	1-3
Dolphins	8-9	6-2	2-7	5-4	3-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	13-4	N/A	N/A	11-2	2-2
Dolphins	8-9	N/A	N/A	6-3	2-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 27th	@SEA	W 31-10	-3 W	U 45.5	BUF -165
Oct 20th	TEN	W 34-10	-9.5 W	O 41	BUF -550
Oct 15th	@NYJ	W 23-20	-1.5 W	O 41.5	BUF -140
Oct 6th	@HOU	L 20-23	+2 L	U 48	HOU +105
Sep 30th	@BAL	L 10-35	+3 L	U 47.5	BAL +125

Dolphins

Total

Bills

373

Total Yards

325

Total Plays

6.2

Yards Per Play

5.5

Dolphins

Passing

Bills

231

YDS

235

25/28

Comps/Atts

25/39

7.724

YPA

5.775

2/0

TDs/INTs

3/1

1/7

Sacks/Yards

1/4

Dolphins

Rushing

Bills

149

Rush Yards

Attempts

4.806

YPC

4.947

TDs

Dolphins

Turnovers

Bills

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Dolphins

Efficiency

Bills

3/4 75%

Redzone

2/5 40%

4/8 0%

3rd Down

5/10 0%

1/1 0%

4th Down

1/1 0%

Dolphins

First Downs

Bills

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Dolphins

Misc

Bills

8/57

Penalties/Yards

4/40

31:53

Possession

28:07

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MatchupOverUnder
Dolphins 0-0-1	o20.5-112	u20.5-108
Bills 0-1	o27.5-122	u27.5+102

Dolphins vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - November 3, 2024

Dolphins at Bills

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Public

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