Dolphins vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - September 19, 2025

Dolphins at Bills

12:15 am • Amazon Prime Video

Miami Dolphins

0-3

21 - 31

Buffalo Bills

3-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dolphins 0-3	+8.5	+11.5-115	o50.5-110	+550
Bills 3-0	u48.5	-11.5-105	u50.5-110	-800

Friday 12:15 a.m.

September 19, 2025

Highmark StadiumOrchard Park

BUF -6.5 (Live)-115

T.Bernard o8.5 Tackles + Ast (Live)-115

BUF u34.5 Team Total (Live)-125

BUF o30.5 Team Total-118

D.Knox o1.5 Recs-110

N.Westbrook-Ikhine o9.5 Rec Yds-110

R.Davis o0.5 Rec Yds+105

1.5u

K.Coleman Anytime TD Scorer Yes+190

1.4u

R.Davis Anytime TD Scorer Yes+370

0.8u

A.Ingold Anytime TD Scorer Yes+2500

0.15u

J.Hawes Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1700

4.25u

Under 50.5-110

0.83u

Primetime Under SZN?

T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+160

1.6u

T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+175

3.5u

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R.Davis o25.5 Rush Yds-118

1.5u

Over 50.5-105

1.05u

Over 50.5-105

1.9u

MIA +12.5-110

K.Coleman u3.5 Recs-137

MIA +7.5 (1H)-125

T.Tagovailoa Anytime TD Scorer Yes+2000

0.1u

D.Achane o39.5 Rec Yds-110

2.2u

J.Allen u6.5 Rush Att-114

0.5u

Tailing @nick_giffen

J.Allen u6.5 Rush Att-114

Josh Allen under 6.5 rush att Miami sub-20% pressure rate so far in 2025, almost exactly 20% in 2024 Josh Allen scrambled 14.7% against pressure last year, but just 3.8% vs. clean pocket As huge faves, likely won’t be asked to do much designed w/legs 4 total rush att in 2 games vs MIA last year Might get a couple kneel downs, but a chance if it’s a blowout Trubisky takes the knees Trubisky did last year in first meeting blowout In fact, Mitch took knees in 6 of BUF’s 13 wins last year https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/josh-allen-player-props-over-under-pick-for-tnf

Under 50.5-110

T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150

0.6u

M.Washington o4.5 Rush Yds-108

0.93u

T.Tagovailoa u35.5 Longest Completion-117

0.85u

BUF u31.5-118

MIA +7 (1H)-110

T.Hill o64.5 Rec Yds-110

J.Cook o81.5 Rush + Rec Yds-114

0.88u

MIA o17.5-108

0.93u

M.Washington o49.5 Rec Yds+350

0.25u

M.Washington Anytime TD Scorer Yes+450

0.25u

M.Washington First Touchdown Scorer Yes+3000

0.25u

M.Washington o24.5 Rec Yds-110

0.91u

M.Washington o39.5 Rec Yds+210

0.5u

D.Achane o13.5 Longest Rush-112

0.67u

D.Achane u5.5 Recs-109

1.09u

Projection: 4.7. For more, check out the Fantasy Life player projections.

D.Achane Anytime TD Scorer Yes+102

Projection: 0.68 TDs, -137. For more, check out the Fantasy Life player projections.

D.Achane o52.5 Rush Yds-112

1.5u

M.Washington o39.5 Rec Yds+250

0.5u

@Mjaybrxd

M.Washington o49.5 Rec Yds+420

0.2u

@Mjaybrxd

M.Washington o23.5 Rec Yds-112

@Mjaybrxd

K.Coleman Anytime TD Scorer Yes+200

0.5u

N.Westbrook-Ikhine Anytime TD Scorer Yes+900

0.25u

D.Kincaid o32.5 Rec Yds-118

J.Allen o1.5 Pass TDs-133

Over 24.5 (1H)-110

BUF -11.5+100

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Over 24.5 (1H)-110

MIA +12.5-108

0.28u

Smaller. Hate TNF and hate the Dolphins but this is a bit too high with the Bills D injuries imo. Talked about on pod.

M.Washington o4.5 Rush Yds-114

D.Kincaid o31.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

M.Washington o4.5 Rush Yds-114

0.88u

The Dolphins need so much help & it’s time for Mike McDaniel to attempt a miracle in this game. He played 31 snaps last week & had 3 rush attempts for 23 yards. They haven’t trusted Ollie Gordon yet & with this short week I wouldn’t be shocked to see more rushes from Washington. He just returned a punt for a TD & they need to find ways for the ball to be in his hands as he is a playmaker. I see 2+ rush attempts in this game & I think we may only need 1 with this low line.

M.Prater o1.5 FGs Made-110

3 FG’s in both games this season. Bills have 0 problem moving the chains & if they lead they’ll take chip shots to pad the lead. Fins allowed 2+ in both games already. The system play is kickers on winning teams on TNF.

T.Johnson o29.5 Rush Yds+550

0.25u

T.Johnson o39.5 Rush Yds+1100

0.15u

T.Johnson o19.5 Rush Yds+230

0.5u

K.Coleman o3.5 Recs+145

MIA +12.5-109

M.Fitzpatrick o6.5 Tackles + Ast-105

Under 50.5-115

BUF -11.5-110

D.Achane u12.5 Rush Att-107

J.Allen o20.5 Pass Comp-102

D.Achane o53.5 Rush Yds-110

R.Davis o21.5 Rush Yds-114

0.57u

The Bills enter Thursday night at 2-0 and heavy 11.5-point favorites against the 0-2 Dolphins. Anything can happen in the NFL, but given Miami’s struggles on and off the field, plus the challenge of a short week on the road, the spread feels about right. Assuming the number is sharp, Buffalo projects to spend a decent chunk of this game playing with a lead of 8+ points. That game script is where Ray Davis gains the most value. Last season, when James Cook, Davis, and Ty Johnson were all healthy: -Davis handled 24% of RB carries in one-score games. -Just 17% when trailing by 8+. -But his share spiked to 38% when the Bills led by 8+. With Buffalo favored to control this game, I project Davis for around 7.1 rush attempts, putting his median closer to 25 yards and giving him roughly a 60% chance of clearing 21.5. This angle is likely to gain steam, and his number should only climb. FanDuel is still hanging 21.5, so I’m grabbing it early.

MIA o17.5 Team Total-102

2.94u

Collab w/ @shadybiev 🐬

J.Palmer Anytime TD Scorer Yes+375

D.Achane Anytime TD Scorer Yes+130

Might be the only Dolphin we can trust. Scored a TD in 18/30 career regular season games and all four games vs Bills in his career.

T.Hill u5.5 Recs+115

1.15u

K.Shakir 5+ Receptions Yes+130

0.5u

K.Shakir o40.5 Rec Yds-114

0.88u

K.Shakir o40.5 Rec Yds-114

J.Allen o1.5 Pass TDs-133

1.13u

J.Allen o1.5 Pass TDs-128

0.78u

D.Kincaid o27.5 Rec Yds-112

Breakdown of this play is on my twitter @CeeJSports

D.Achane o38.5 Rec Yds-114

MIA +12.5+100

BUF -12-110

1.1u

MIA +12.5-105

0.95u

Under 49.5-105

MIA +12.5-110

0.91u

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NFL Public Betting

Bills are 3-0 in their last 5 games.
Bills are 2-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bills are 1-0 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bills' last 3 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bills' 2 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	2-1	1-1	1-0	1-1	1-0
Dolphins	1-2	0-1	1-1	0-1	1-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bills	2-1	2-0	0-1	1-1	1-0
Dolphins	2-1	1-0	1-1	1-0	1-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	3-0	N/A	N/A	2-0	1-0
Dolphins	0-3	N/A	N/A	0-1	0-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 14th	@NYJ	W 30-10	-6 W	U 47.5	BUF -290
Sep 8th	BAL	W 41-40	+1.5 W	O 51.5	BUF +105
Aug 23rd	@TB	W 23-19	-1.5 W	O 37.5	BUF -125
Aug 18th	@CHI	L 0-38	+2.5 L	U 40.5	CHI +120
Aug 9th	NYG	L 25-34	-2.5 L	O 37.5	NYG -155

Tyler Bass
K
Bass is out with hip
Out

Darren Waller
TE
Waller is questionable with hip
Questionable
James Daniels
G
Daniels is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Dee Eskridge
WR
Eskridge is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Ethan Bonner
CB
Bonner is out with hamstring
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Dolphins

Total

Bills

276

Total Yards

360

Total Plays

4.7

Yards Per Play

6.3

Dolphins

Passing

Bills

146

YDS

213

22/34

Comps/Atts

22/28

4.294

YPA

6.767

2/1

TDs/INTs

3/0

0/0

Sacks/Yards

2/10

Dolphins

Rushing

Bills

130

Rush Yards

157

Attempts

5.2

YPC

5.815

TDs

Dolphins

Turnovers

Bills

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Dolphins

Efficiency

Bills

3/3 100%

Redzone

3/4 75%

10/15 0%

3rd Down

6/11 0%

1/1 0%

4th Down

0/0 0%

Dolphins

First Downs

Bills

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Dolphins

Misc

Bills

6/57

Penalties/Yards

3/35

28:13

Possession

31:47

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MatchupOverUnder
Dolphins 0-3	o19.5-110	u19.5-112
Bills 3-0	o31-113	u31-108

Dolphins vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - September 19, 2025

Dolphins at Bills

Miami Dolphins

Buffalo Bills

Dolphins at Bills Odds

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Dolphins vs. Bills Public Betting Percentages

Dolphins

Public

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Bets%

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