Eagles vs. Saints Odds & Betting Predictions - September 22, 2024

Eagles at Saints

5:00 pm • FOX

Philadelphia Eagles

12-2

15 - 12

New Orleans Saints

5-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Eagles 12-2	-3	+2.5-107	o49-110	+117
Saints 5-9	u45	-2.5-112	u49-110	-137

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

September 22, 2024

Caesars SuperdomeNew Orleans

J.Williams Anytime TD Scorer Yes+175

0.25u

Boyd

R.Shaheed 50+ Receiving Yards Yes-110

Averaging 84.5 yard per game Eagles are allowing the 6th most passing yards per game (242)

C.Olave Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155

0.78u

J.Williams o17.5 Rush Yds-110

C.Olave First Touchdown Scorer Yes+1000

0.25u

@TheBMatt

PHI +131

1.31u

Proj: +113.2. For more, check out Fantasy Life.

NO u26.5 Team Total-110

0.91u

Not buying the Saints just yet

A.Kamara o65.5 Rush Yds-120

0.83u

PHI +2.5+100

C.Olave First Touchdown Scorer Yes+1000

0.25u

Spicy pick for today’s TD show (0.25u)

PHI +2.5-105

PHI +3-120

R.Shaheed o23.5 Longest Reception-110

1.1u

PHI +3-120

PHI +2.5+100

0.5u

J.Williams o15.5 Rush Yds-113

Jamaal Williams over 15.5 rushing yards (-113 FD) .75u - 1u I look at this game and these two back a lot like what we just saw the Eagles struggle with last week vs the Falcons. Bijan dominated them and when he needed a breather, Allgeier came in and had 9 rushes for 53 yards. Jamaal is a back I know well as I watched him when he played in Detroit. He has a very physical running style - kinda reminds me of Monty - and invites contact. The Saints use him as a compliment, much like Allgeier to Bijan, as Williams has seen 11 and 8 carries the last 2 weeks. Williams has hit this line easily in back to back games to start the season with 38 and 39 yards and an average of 4.1 YPC. With how well the Saints have played, blowing out the Panthers and the Cowboys, I would not be surprised to see them get a lead and bring in Jamaal for some late game carries. But, even if this is a closer game, I still like him to get this low line with how well he has ran the ball. Having at least 8 carries in both games and an average YPC of 4.1, we only need 4 carries to cash this if he maintains his season average vs one of the NFL's weaker run defenses.

A.Kamara o67.5 Rush Yds-113

Alvin Kamara over 67.5 rushing yards (-113 FD) Kamara has been on an absolute tear 2 weeks into the NFL season. He had 83 rushing yards vs Carolina and followed that up with a ridiculous 4 TD 115 yard rushing day on the road in Dallas. The Saints have been the best offense in football and that is because of the weapon that Kamara is for them. He is used in a multitude of ways, but the guy is averaging 5.7 YPC 🤯 and is now going to face one of the worst run defenses in football. The Eagles just let Bijan Robinson run all over them with 97 yards and a 6.9 YPC. That was after they let Josh Jacobs run for 84 yards with 5.3 YPC in Week 1. I would expect the offense to continue to flow through the hot hand and see Kamara feast on this struggling Eagles defense.

R.Shaheed o22.5 Longest Reception-118

1.18u

C.Olave o4.5 Recs-144

0.87u

Skewed numbers to start the season for NO pass-catchers thanks to two blowouts. Olave has only ran 23 and 16 routes in the two games - last season AVG just under 34 routes/game When Olave runs 25+ routes in a game: - Covered 10/12 - AVG 5.9 REC/G - AVG 9.7 TRG/G Covered this line 11/11 games w/ Carr when seeing 7+ targets. PHI are T12 in WR REC/TRG and allowed the most TRG/REC in 2023 - covered 5/7 vs. T12 in WR TRG and 4/6 vs. T12 in REC last season PHI run cover-3 at a T5 rate under Fangio and since 2023 Olave is AVG a 30.0% TPRR vs. cover-3, which ranks #5 among all eligible pass-catchers

PHI +130

0.72u

D.Carr o1.5 Rush Yds-105

0.95u

J.Hurts o0.5 Int-115

0.5u

Week 3 QB INT Picks. Article coming shortly.

PHI +2.5-110

Raybon 3

PHI +3-120

Sura

D.Carr o1.5 Rush Yds-110

0.91u

PHI +3-105

0.95u

Kitchen Sink week! TAN pod / best bets

C.Olave o60.5 Rec Yds-110

0.91u

Bet365

PHI +3-120

Should be bounce back spot for eagles. Allen/Carr absolutely atrocious ATS as a favorite

PHI +3-120

NO -2.5-118

The Saints' moneyline was +115 yesterday, but I'm still showing value. Had this spread at Saints -2.2 in the preseason, and they've exceeded expectations thus far. I know my stuff is high on the Saints, but I think we've seen why through two games.

PHI +3-120

PHI +2.5-110

0.91u

Oooo Double Down

NO -106

PHI +1.5-105

0.95u

Pick em #5

Featured Insight
The Eagles have allowed successful plays on 29.0% of pass attempts with a light rush since the 2023 season -- 6th-best in NFL; the Saints have run successful plays on 25.0% of pass attempts against a light rush since the 2023 season -- T-4th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
Saints RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on 16.0% of 58 carries this season -- 4th-best in NFL; the Eagles have allowed 10+ yards on 23.0% of carries to RBs this season -- T-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Saints are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Saints are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Saints are 2-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Saints' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Saints' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Saints	6-8	4-4	2-4	1-3	5-5
Eagles	9-5	2-4	6-1	6-5	3-0

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Saints	7-7	4-4	3-3	2-2	5-5
Eagles	5-9	1-5	3-4	4-7	1-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Saints	5-9	N/A	N/A	2-2	3-7
Eagles	12-2	N/A	N/A	9-2	3-0

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 15th	@DAL	W 44-19	+6.5 W	O 47	NO +235
Sep 8th	CAR	W 47-10	-3.5 W	O 41.5	NO -191
Aug 25th	TEN	L 27-30	+5.5 W	O 38	TEN +200
Aug 19th	@SF	L 10-16	-1 L	U 37.5	SF -125
Aug 11th	@ARI	W 16-14	-2.5 L	U 37	NO -135

Derek Carr
QB
Carr is out with hand
Out

Tanoh Kpassagnon
DE
Kpassagnon is questionable with achilles
Questionable
Alvin Kamara
RB
Kamara is doubtful with groin
Doubtful
Taysom Hill
TE
Hill is out with knee
Out
J.T. Gray
DB
Gray is questionable with back
Questionable
Will Harris
CB
Harris is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Shane Lemieux
G
Lemieux is questionable with knee
Questionable
Chris Olave
WR
Olave is out with concussion
Out
D'Marco Jackson
LB
Jackson is out with ankle
Out
John Ridgeway
DT
Ridgeway is questionable with oblique
Questionable
Nephi Sewell
LB
Sewell is questionable with knee
Questionable
Rashid Shaheed
WR
Shaheed is out with knee
Out
Nick Saldiveri
OL
Saldiveri is out with knee
Out
Kool-Aid McKinstry
DB
McKinstry is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Bub Means
WR
Means is out with ankle
Out
Rico Payton
CB
Payton is questionable with back
Questionable

Dallas Goedert
TE
Goedert is out with knee
Out
Britain Covey
WR
Covey is out with neck
Out
Byron Young
DT
Young is out with hamstring
Out
Ben VanSumeren
LB
VanSumeren is out with knee
Out
Johnny Wilson
WR
Wilson is questionable with illness
Questionable

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Eagles

Total

Saints

460

Total Yards

219

Total Plays

6.9

Yards Per Play

Eagles

Passing

Saints

311

YDS

142

29/38

Comps/Atts

14/25

6.857

YPA

0/1

TDs/INTs

1/1

4/23

Sacks/Yards

1/12

Eagles

Rushing

Saints

172

Rush Yards

Attempts

6.88

YPC

3.069

TDs

Eagles

Turnovers

Saints

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Eagles

Efficiency

Saints

1/3 33.33%

Redzone

1/3 33.33%

6/14 0%

3rd Down

6/13 0%

1/3 0%

4th Down

0/1 0%

Eagles

First Downs

Saints

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Eagles

Misc

Saints

7/45

Penalties/Yards

3/25

32:15

Possession

27:45

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MatchupOverUnder
Eagles 12-2	o23.5+102	u23.5-118
Saints 5-9	o25.5-115	u25.5-105

Eagles vs. Saints Odds & Betting Predictions - September 22, 2024

Eagles at Saints

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