Lions vs. Eagles Odds & Betting Predictions - November 17, 2025

SNIA

4.25% ev play to -115

More

4.79% ev play to +100

Swole batman

2.92% ev play to +104

Tailing @Bet_Labs on this one

#Squeaky DET D 28th in WR1 DVOA, 9 TD to WR1s in 9g, T-2nd-most TD/g to WR (1.44).

Find paint MVP

I’ll add some more to it lol

He’s gone over this number twice on the year. TWICE.

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Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Projecting closer to 6.4 with around a 65% chance to stay under 7.5

If you know me you knew this was coming

3.19% ev play to -112

For all the talk about Rams-Seahawks, this game could wind up just as important in the NFC. We already know both these teams are built for the playoffs, having seen them each go on deep runs. Playoff football is about running the ball and playing defense, exactly what these teams have built their identities around. Right now, though, Detroit is better at both. The Lions defense has been outstanding this season, top five by DVOA. The Eagles are coming off one of their best performances of the season in defense after adding Jaelan Phillips, but Philadelphia is still just 13th in DVOA on the season. As for the rushing attacks, the Lions appear to have the advantage both ways. Detroit ranks 6th in DVOA running the ball while the Eagles rank just 21st in defense. Flip it around and the Eagles are a surprising 22nd by DVOA rushing, while the Lions rank 7th. Saquon Barkley just hasn't hit those explosives this season, and four of five Eagles linemen are on the injury report. That line hasn't been as good as it was in past years. For all the talk about Philadelphia's improvement, Detroit also took a big step last week. Dan Campbell took over play calling, and the impact was immediately apparent. The Lions rank top three by EPA per play in both motion and playaction plays, and they immediately used more motion with Campbell and nearly doubled their playaction calls. That could be a huge problem for the Eagles, since they rank 29th by EPA per play defending playaction. Both sides have important injuries, and it's never fun backing Jared Goff on the road in a windy environment, but Detroit is the better team on both sides of the ball, with superior special teams and coaching. The Lions are also a luck side in our Luck Rankings. Grab Lions +3 while it's there (ESPN Bet) at the key, or best number available. I actually make the Lions the favorite, so I'm inclined to bet on a win too. Just the moneyline isn't enticing enough, but Detroit has won nine straight games by at least six points so let's place a portion of the bet on Lions -5.5 alt at +246 (DraftKings). The futures angle here is clear — bet MVP for the QB on the team you expect to win. The MVP race still appears to be wide open. Quarterbacks on top-two seeds win this award, so the prices for Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen appear way off with their teams in the wildcard race, and upstart Drake Maye has the MVP target on his back now. The Eagles enter the weekend at 52% to be a top-two seed, while the Lions are at 40%. Whichever team wins will be in contention with the Rams-Seahawks winner for the top spot in the NFC, and that could be the kingmaker spot. Hurts is on pace for 4,000 yards and 40 TDs including rushing, with only two interceptions. Goff is on pace for 4,200 yards passing with 38 TDs and six picks, and his passing rate went up with Campbell calling plays. The Lions still have a number of marquee games on the schedule — Packers on Thanksgiving, Cowboys the following Thursday night, a huge late afternoon game against the Rams, and the Vikings on Christmas. The Lions will be favored in every game the rest of the season except that Rams one — an obvious narrative revenge spot against his old team. Hurts and Goff are priced similarly for MVP to guys like Justin Herbert playing with no offensive line, Baker Mayfield whose entire supporting cast is injured, and Lamar Jackson who has under a 3% shot at a top-two seed. If we like the Lions, we have to like Goff for MVP too in a wide open race. That's the ultimate Lions escalator on Sunday night at +3000 (ESPN Bet).

@GDAWG5000 https://myaction.app/IlEcwUOFiYb

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@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/K2Wr1J4liYb

@BKPicks https://myaction.app/6S8Oz4TJgYb

@ChrisRaybon https://myaction.app/x6YDsFhwfYb

Tailing @nick_giffen

Luck Under + DET unlucky side = PHI TT under Projecting closer to 21 and would lower if there is weather/wind