Phillies vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 8, 2025

Phillies at Rays

11:05 pm • MLB Network
7 - 6
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Ryan Pepiot logoR.PepiotTampa Bay Rays logo3.8711-12
Jesus Luzardo logoJ.LuzardoPhiladelphia Phillies logo3.9215-7

Phillies at Rays Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies
1-3
-1.5
-1.5+106
o8.5-123
-160
Rays
0-0
u8.5
+1.5-126
u8.5-109
+135
location pinThursday 11:05 p.m.
May 08, 2025
George M. Steinbrenner FieldTampa
Phillies vs. Rays Expert Picks
PvB Bets
PvB Bets
Last 30d: 6-7-0 (-2.2u)
PHI -144
0.69u
🔔 PHI Phillies ML 🔔 -144 @ ProphetX - 1U 💵 🎯 Luzardo sub-2.00 ERA 🎯 TBR ranks 26th in OPS vs LHP (L30) 🎯 Pepiot owns a 4.66 xERA and isn't getting whiffs Let's get back on track 🫡
Austin Pendergrass
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 33-44-0 (-11.3u)
PHI -148
0.68u
Not sure why this line is so low but I’m taking it. Luzardo has a road ERA of 1.59 and TB has been one of the worst teams against LHP hitting .182 as a team this year. Pepiot has a 4.82 home ERA this year. He has given up 8 HRs so far this year and they have all been at home so good opportunities for the Phils bats here
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 216-171-3 (+29.0u)
PHI -135
0.74u
Phillies have won 8 straight vs Rays – latest 8-4, 7-0 blowouts. Rolling: 8-2 last 10, 11-1 in interleague. Rays collapsing at home – just 1-10 last 11. Also 2-7 vs NL East. Philly owns matchup, full momentum edge. Luzardo starts – 3-0, 1.94 ERA, 9 ER in 41.2 IP. Last 3: 1.47 ERA. Phillies 5-2 in his games. Rays hitting .180 vs LHP, just 1.92 runs/9. Pepiot shaky – 2-4, 4.23 ERA, 18 ER in 38.1 IP. Rays 3-4 when he starts. Philly lineup hot – .281 last 10, 5.00 runs/9 vs RHP. Rays weak – .204 last 10, 3.81 runs/9 overall. Phillies’ bullpen 2.77 ERA, 1.00 WHIP last 3. Rays' pen slipping – 1.57 WHIP. All signs point to Philly.
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 86-83-2 (-3.0u)
PHI -145
1u
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 85-77-1 (-0.2u)
Over 8.5+100
1u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
TB +128
0.78u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 89-115-4 (-19.3u)
N.Castellanos o1.5 Total Bases+115
1.3u
The Pick Don
The Pick Don
Last 30d: 18-8-0 (+12.3u)
Over 8.5-115
1.5u
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 35-87-10 (-5.9u)
J.Caminero o0.5 HR+525
2.63u
B.Harper o0.5 HR+400
0.5u
MJC Locks
MJC Locks
Last 30d: 13-36-0 (+6.7u)
K.Schwarber o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115
1.15u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 90-79-1 (+21.3u)
TB +120
3u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 128-119-2 (+0.2u)
C.Mead u0.5 Hits+130
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 62-56-1 (+2.7u)
Over 8.5+100
0.5u
Thursday. Bet to 9 (-105)

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Phillies vs. Rays Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Phillies

Public

85%

Bets%

15%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Rays
73-8935-4638-4329-4643-41
Phillies
81-8141-4040-4162-6719-14

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Rays
71-81-1036-41-435-40-632-37-638-42-4
Phillies
70-81-1141-37-329-44-857-61-1113-20

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Rays
77-8541-4036-4542-3334-50
Phillies
96-6655-2641-4080-4916-17

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 7thPHIL 0-7+1.5 LU 8.5PHI +140
May 6thPHIL 4-8+1.5 LO 8PHI +110
May 4th@NYYW 7-5+1.5 WO 9TB +142
May 3rd@NYYW 3-2+1.5 WU 10TB +182
May 2nd@NYYL 0-3+1.5 LU 8.5NYY +195

Rays vs. Phillies Injury Updates

Rays Injuries

  • Taylor Walls
    SS

    Walls is out with groin

    Out

  • Shane McClanahan
    SP

    McClanahan is out with triceps

    Out

Phillies Injuries

  • Pedro Leon
    RF

    Leon is out with knee

    Out

Phillies vs. Rays Box Score
Phillies Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Jesus Luzardo logoLJ.Luzardo, P1055.142
Carlos Hernandez logoRC.Hernandez, P80.220
Tanner Banks logoLT.Banks, P27113
Jordan Romano logoRJ.Romano, P14110
Jose Alvarado logoLJ.Alvarado, P11110
Matt Strahm logoLM.Strahm, P18120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Bryson Stott logo1B.Stott, 2B2-4213
Trea Turner logo2T.Turner, SS2-5001
Bryce Harper logo3B.Harper, 1B0-4001
Kyle Schwarber logo4K.Schwarber, LF1-4000
Johan Rojas logo4J.Rojas, PR0-1100
Johan Rojas logo4J.Rojas, CF0-1100
Nick Castellanos logo5N.Castellanos, DH0-3000
Weston Wilson logo5W.Wilson, PR0-0000
Weston Wilson logo5W.Wilson, DH0-0000
Max Kepler logo6M.Kepler, RF0-3001
J.T. Realmuto logo7J.Realmuto, C1-3000
Alec Bohm logo8A.Bohm, 3B1-4100
Edmundo Sosa logo8E.Sosa, PR0-0100
Edmundo Sosa logo8E.Sosa, 3B0-0100
Brandon Marsh logo9B.Marsh, CF2-4201
Brandon Marsh logo9B.Marsh, LF2-4201
Rays Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Ryan Pepiot logoRR.Pepiot, P95631
Garrett Cleavinger logoLG.Cleavinger, P10100
Edwin Uceta logoRE.Uceta, P180.203
Mason Montgomery logoLM.Montgomery, P20.100
Pete Fairbanks logoRP.Fairbanks, P28110
Manuel Rodriguez logoRM.Rodriguez, P12111
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Yandy Diaz logo1Y.Diaz, DH1-5113
Christopher Morel logo2C.Morel, LF0-3000
Brandon Lowe logo2B.Lowe, 2B0-1100
Junior Caminero logo3J.Caminero, 3B1-3112
Junior Caminero logo3J.Caminero, 1B1-3112
Jonathan Aranda logo4J.Aranda, 1B3-4000
Travis Jankowski logo4T.Jankowski, PR0-1000
Travis Jankowski logo4T.Jankowski, RF0-1000
Danny Jansen logo5D.Jansen, C2-5001
Curtis Mead logo6C.Mead, 2B1-2000
Chandler Simpson logo6C.Simpson, PH1-3000
Chandler Simpson logo6C.Simpson, RF1-3000
Chandler Simpson logo6C.Simpson, LF1-3000
Jose Caballero logo7J.Caballero, RF2-5100
Jose Caballero logo7J.Caballero, 2B2-5100
Jose Caballero logo7J.Caballero, 3B2-5100
Kameron Misner logo8K.Misner, CF0-4000
Taylor Walls logo9T.Walls, SS3-4200

Phillies vs. Rays Odds Comparison

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Phillies at Rays Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Phillies
1-3
o4.5-130
u4.5+101
Rays
0-0
o3.5-125
u3.5-103