Warriors vs. Kings Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2024

Loving a sneaky revenge spot vs. his former team. Barnes has made an average of 2.5 3-pointers per game and has gone over this mark in 8 out of the 11 games he played this season for 25-33 minutes with the Big-3, facing a top-15 3-point funnel defense. Coach Brown likely ups his minutes to contain Klay/Wiggins and help on PNR. Shooting split-wise, he’s 41.7% from 3PT at home, and if Harrison Barnes is hitting his shots, the team knows it will be a X-Factor if the Kings want to win this game. He’s attempted 12, 7, & 5 three pointer in his last three meetings vs. the Warriors and strategically, we could see him get his open looks as long as the trio of Fox, Sabonis, & Keegan are defensively contained. Over the last 10 games, the Warriors are giving up the 6th most frequency via 3-pointers. #PlayerProps

@JoeDellera

3+ 1Q PTS

The Warriors and Kings play in a rematch from the first round last season. One player to keep an eye on is Stephen Curry who will be the focal point of the Warriors’ offense. The Warriors are differently composed this year, but one of the ways they try to kickstart the offense has been if Curry can get the rebound to kickstart a fast-break. This allows the Warriors to operate in transition more effectively while getting the defense on their heels. In his last two Playoffs, he has averaged 5.2 rebounds per game. This has really played out against the Kings overall. He has averaged 5.7 rebounds per game in 15 matchups against the Kings while exceeding 4.5 in 11/15 games. I like Curry’s points and considered betting PR, but I expect the Kings to sell out with Keon Ellis and Davion Mitchell to try and slow down Steph today. Curry can contribute in a multitude of ways, but in this game, I expect him to make a concerted effort on the glass in a win or go home game.

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/warriors-vs-kings-player-prop-pick-bet-keegan-murray-in-play-in-game-tuesday-april-16

Courtside pal gives a boost to the under in this game and +ev bet with devig odds of -127 giving value to this number

@HPBasketball