Warriors vs. Rockets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 24, 2025

Warriors at Rockets

1:30 am • TNT

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Golden State Warriors

1-0

Houston Rockets

0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Warriors 1-0	+1	+4-109	o204.5-110	+145
Rockets 0-1	u208.5	-4-111	u204.5-109	-175

Thursday 1:30 a.m.

April 24, 2025

Toyota CenterHouston

B.Hield u1.5 3pt M-130

1.6u

HOU -2.5-130

1.3u

Over 204-110

S.Curry u25.5 Pts-110

1.5u

J.Smith o1.5 3pt M+150

0.7u

S.Curry o30.5 Pts+Ast-122

1.22u

A.Sengun o14.5 Rebs+Ast+100

GSW +4-110

Down with the ship

B.Hield u1.5 3pt M-190

1.9u

GSW +3.5-108

2.16u

Over 204-110

1.1u

Over 204.5-110

1.1u

GSW o100.5 Team Total-115

Chef cooking

HOU -3.5-112

1.12u

HOU -3.5-108

Going for 3 straight winners🔮🔥 LIKE THIS if tailing❤️

HOU -3.5-110

1.1u

GSW +3.5-104

1.04u

S.Curry o29.5 Pts+Rebs-121

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-best-bets-for-first-round-playoff-games-on-wednesday-april-23-qs

Q.Post o1.5 Rebs-145

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Under 203.5-110

Under 204.5-110

Rockets put up just 85 in Game 1 — fewest playoff pts since 2016. Rockets’ defense thrives at home: 107.2 opp PPG, 45.0% FG allowed. Slow pace clear — 87 FGA for HOU, 80 for GSW. Under hit 8 of last 11 in HOU. Physical game, limited transition, tight halfcourt sets. Rockets pulled 22 OREBs, but just 22 second-chance pts — all effort, no finish. Shot 39.1% FG, 20.7% from deep. Looks were clean, but execution off. Warriors held them in check with 110.2 opp PPG on season. Even w/ better shooting, expect low output. Both teams avg ~113 PPG, but defenses steady: HOU 109.6 opp PPG, GSW 110.2. Rockets dominate glass (14.7 OREB/gm), slowing Warriors’ fastbreak. Sengün shot 61.1% in G1, but overall efficiency weak. Intensity rises in G2 — scoring won’t.

HOU -2.5-110

Rockets crashed the glass in Game 1 – 22 OREBs to Warriors’ 6. Only turned it into 22 second-chance pts. Shot 39.1% FG, 20.7% from 3 – wide open looks missed. Sengün was efficient: 26 pts on 61.1%. If shooting regresses to the mean, offense bounces back strong. Defense solid all year – 109.6 opp PPG, 45.9% FG. Even better at home: 107.2 PPG, 45%. Held Warriors to 95 in Game 1. Fought back from down 23, cut to 4 late. Late-game D, home crowd, and urgency = edge. Warriors offense didn’t overwhelm – Rockets kept pace. Slow playoff tempo coming again. Rockets avg 14.7 OREBs, GSW just 12.5. Under hit in 8 of last 11 at Toyota. HOU 29-13 at home, defense locks in. Missed layups + wide open threes are easy fixes. With those cleaned up, Rockets should take Game 2 tight.

HOU -3-110

1.1u

How bout some NBA

HOU -3-110

0.55u

D.Green u6.5 Rebs-115

0.58u

#Tailing @wheatonbrando

F.VanVleet u14.5 Pts-120

0.3u

Tailing @wheatonbrando

D.Green u6.5 Rebs-115

0.29u

Tailing @wheatonbrando

D.Green u6.5 Rebs-115

0.75u

Down to 7.1rpg last 2 playoffs after 10.0 previous 100 playoff games, down to career low 6.1 this year. Just tough sledding vs Sengun Adams Amen and at 5.4 vs Houston under in 4/5. Always possible an easy under too with fouls or techs.

F.VanVleet u14.5 Pts-120

0.75u

4/19 for 10pts G1, more of the same for him so back to the well. 9.0ppg vs GSW now under in all 5g, and under this in 12/17 since start of Feb. 22% FG vs GSW, might just be age/size profile catching up and exhausted chasing Ws motion all game on D.

M.Moody u13.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

0.6u

Going back to this one. Moody finished with 10 PRA over 28 minutes in Game 1 but Warriors were in control from the 2nd quarter onward so they didn’t need to make any changes to rotation. Rockets are 3-point favorites in Game 2 as of this writing and I suspect they make adjustments. Podz (35 mins), Draymond (37 mins), Curry (40 mins) and Butler (42 mins) barely left the court. If Warriors need to make an adjustment like play more GPII or more Looney to combat Steven Adams who nearly double-doubled in his 20 mins, I think Moody would be the most at risk to lose minutes.

A.Sengun u14.5 Rebs+Ast+105

1.6u

8.7% ev

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No props found

NBA Public Betting

Rockets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rockets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rockets are 22-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Rockets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Rockets' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rockets	43-38-1	21-20	22-18-1	29-26	14-12-1
Warriors	41-38-3	17-22-2	24-16-1	27-27-2	14-11-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rockets	44-36-2	20-19-2	24-17	29-24-2	15-12
Warriors	41-41	20-21	21-20	29-27	12-14

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rockets	0-1	N/A	N/A	42-13	10-17
Warriors	1-0	N/A	N/A	37-19	11-15

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 21st	GSW	L 85-95	-1.5 L	U 213	GSW -125
Apr 13th	DEN	L 111-126	+6 L	O 234.5	DEN +194
Apr 12th	@LAL	L 109-140	+14 L	O 228.5	LAL +640
Apr 10th	@LAC	L 117-134	+10.5 L	O 221	LAC +390
Apr 7th	@GSW	W 106-96	+5.5 W	U 225.5	HOU +180