Bengals vs. Vikings Odds & Betting Predictions - September 21, 2025

Bengals at Vikings

5:00 pm • CBS

Cincinnati Bengals

2-1

10 - 48

Minnesota Vikings

2-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Bengals 2-1	+1.5	+3-105	o42.5-114	+142
Vikings 2-1	u47.5	-3-115	u42.5-108	-166

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

September 21, 2025

U.S. Bank StadiumMinneapolis

MIN -3 (Live)-110

MIN -3-105

MIN -3-110

Notes: The inactives report is favorable for Vikings with lots of Q guys suiting up.

Under 41.5+100

A.Thielen First Touchdown Scorer Yes+2200

0.25u

A.Thielen Anytime TD Scorer Yes+500

0.5u

CIN +3+102

0.25u

J.Chase Anytime TD Scorer Yes+164

0.75u

J.Chase 2+ TDs Yes+1200

0.25u

Spicy 🌶️

C.Wentz o0.5 Int-156

0.78u

Projection: 0.86 INTs. For more, check out the Fantasy Life player projections.

T.Hendrickson o1 Sacks-117

1.17u

Notes: Hendrickson has NFL-high 37 sacks over past 36 games, facing MIN OL on its LT3 and C2 — with a sack-prone QB2.

J.Browning Anytime TD Scorer Yes+750

0.5u

Notes: TDs in 4 of 8 games with snap rate of at least 60%. For more, check out the Fantasy Life player projections.

J.Browning o0.5 Int-160

0.5u

Projection: 0.98 INTs. For more, check out the Fantasy Life player projections.

CIN +3-110

0.55u

MIN -0.5 (1H)-110

0.91u

MIN -3-105

0.95u

MIN -1.5 (1Q)+142

1.42u

C.Brown u13.5 Rec Yds-110

T.Hockenson o36.5 Rec Yds-114

0.88u

C.Wentz o3.5 Rush Att+105

J.Jefferson o5.5 Recs-105

T.Hockenson o35.5 Rec Yds-112

0.5u

Hock hasn’t cleared 15 yards in two games, but this sets up as a screaming buy-low. The Vikings have run a league-low 47.5 plays per game, and that’s mostly because JJ McCarthy was sinking drives. With Carson Wentz taking over, the offense should stay on the field longer and create more overall play volume. For Hockenson specifically, it’s a plus since Wentz has leaned on his TEs at a high rate in the past. He’s caught just 4-of-7 targets (57%), about 17% below expected. One miss was a wide-open look for 15+ yards that got batted at the line. Say what you want about Wentz, but he should help clean that up. Hock is also another year removed from ACL surgery, so we should be closer to seeing him at full strength. With Aaron Jones out, Jordan Mason will soak up carries but not command targets the way Jones does, leaving more opportunity for Hock. I project him closer to 40.5 yards with ~59% odds to clear, and the underlying setup makes this more than just a numbers play.. it’s a buy-low spot I want to grab now.

C.Brown u2.5 Recs-107

0.54u

Tailing @nick_giffen

C.Brown u2.5 Recs-107

1.07u

Chase Brown under 2.5 rec (-107 at DK) Browning at QB is not good for Brown in this market, since he throws to his RBs just 15.3% of the time compared to an NFL average in the mid 17% range, and had the sixth-lowest checkdown rate among QBs with 200+ pass attempts back in 2023 when he filled in for an injured Burrow. Browning also scrambles at a higher rate than Burrow, and has been sacked at a higher rate as well which lowers the chances he even attempts a pass on any given dropback. MIN, despite playing with the lead a lot since the start of last year, is below average in target share allowed to RBs and with this game a 2.5-3 point spread, there's a solid chance Cincy is even holding the lead for a chunk of this game, which would lower pass rate expectation. Projecting Brown for 2.35 receptions with a 58% chance to stay under 2.5

J.Browning 250+ Passing Yards Yes+135

0.25u

J.Browning 275+ Passing Yards Yes+240

0.25u

J.Browning 300+ Passing Yards Yes+425

0.25u

J.Browning 325+ Passing Yards Yes+640

0.1u

MIN -2.5-105

1.05u

Via @wheatonbrando #100notes

C.Wentz Anytime TD Scorer Yes+600

0.25u

Let's invest in the Carson Wentz Cinderella story while we're here. Wentz will make his sixth start in six seasons for six different teams, a first in NFL history — the Eagles, Colts, Commanders, Rams, Chiefs, and now his boyhood team, the Vikings. And miss me with the poor Wentz numbers in recent years. He's playing mostly Week 18 games with backups — his top receiver his last three games was Nikko Remigio, Davis Allen, and Logan Thomas. As a longtime Wentz fan since his high school days in Bismarck, North Dakota, I know the one thing Wentz loves to do is call his own number at the goal line. Time and again, he ran that little quarterback draw in for a huge score for the North Dakota State Bison en route to a national championship. Give me Wentz at +600 for any Anytime Touchdown (FD), and how about the ultimate Cinderella story in your first start ever for the team you've loved all your life — Wentz Last TD + Vikings ML at +3700 (bet365) for the late winner that will have everyone talking!

MIN -2.5-120

0.83u

Carson Wentz! Jake Browning! Just the game everyone was hoping for! Those two names alone will make this a stay-away for many bettors, but I think they represent opportunity. It's all about how you evaluate these two quarterbacks and what them playing does to your power ratings for each team. I do not want to hear again about how great Jake Browning is or how he's barely even a downgrade from Joe Burrow. Get all the way out of here. Burrow played as well as any QB last season, an upper tip-top echelon of QBs on the level of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, and Patrick Mahomes — and we'd just assume those teams' seasons were over, if any of them got hurt. How much credit are we really giving an undrafted dude with seven starts? Sure Browning went 4-3 SU in those starts, but he played with training wheels and still made a ton of mistakes, with seven interceptions and 21 sacks, problems we saw already last week. And those four wins? They came against C.J. Beathard, Gardner Minshew, Nick Mullens, and Jeff Driskel. Congrats. Carson Wentz is the far more talented quarterback, a top-five talent and former MVP candidate. Wentz can make plays with his legs, and he has plenty of arm talent to give Justin Jefferson and company a chance. As bad as J.J. McCarthy has played, Wentz looks like an upgrade for the Vikings, not a downgrade. I moved Minnesota half a point up with Wentz — and dropped the Bengals four or five points. That means this line is way off, and I make it Vikings by just over a touchdown. Don't forget, Kevin O'Connell won 34 games the last three seasons despite over half of those games being started by his backup quarterback. This is the exact spot we've seen the Vikings succeed with any number of names at QB. The Vikings are still a playoff contender, even with someone like Wentz at QB; the Bengals look like a bottom-10 team, with bottom-five blocking, defense, and coaching. Give me Vikings -2.5 (ESPN Bet) if it's available below the key, or Minnesota -3 or best number available.

C.Wentz Anytime TD Scorer Yes+600

0.17u

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/mwsC0lYENWb

MIN -2.5-110

0.91u

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/mwsC0lYENWb

MIN -3-110

0.91u

Carson Wentz is legally my father - only child btw

J.Mason u2.5 Recs+105

1.05u

J.Browning o22.5 Pass Comp+101

J.Browning o32.5 Pass Att-114

1.14u

J.Jefferson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+130

0.5u

A.Thielen Anytime TD Scorer Yes+600

0.25u

J.Browning Anytime TD Scorer Yes+900

0.25u

Absurd price since he +700 or lower everywhere else. In 7 appearances as Bengals quarterback (five starts, two injury replacement for Burrow in 2023 and 2025), he’s scored in 4 of them.

J.Mason u2.5 Recs-110

0.45u

C.Brown o13.5 Rec Yds-110

0.91u

J.Mason o73.5 Rush Yds-114

0.88u

J.Mason o73.5 Rush Yds-114

MIN -3-110

CIN +3-105

@sundaysixpack @ChrisRaybon https://myaction.app/4MflgQZkKWb

CIN +3-105

1.05u

@ChrisRaybon 3 https://myaction.app/4MflgQZkKWb

CIN +3-102

1.02u

Browning led NFL in completion rate in ‘23 on 275 attempts & went 4-3 SU with 8.2 YPA as starter, including 27-24 win vs MIN (29-42, 324 yd, 2 TD, 1 INT vs Flores’ D) Wentz is 3-8 (27%) SU/ATS with -9.6 ATS diff as starter since Jan 1, 2022 w/ 6.2 YPA, 14.2 team PPG. Wentz has only been w/ MIN for a few weeks + MIN O also w/o WRAddison, RB Jones. MIN could be w/o best 2 O-lineman in LT Darrisaw (Q-ACL recovery), C Kelly (Q-concussion) + Darrisaw’s replacement Skule (Q-concussion) + banged up on defense as well (Van Ginkel/Harrison Smith/Jeff Okudah all Q).

MIN -5-112

0.89u

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NFL Public Betting

Vikings are 2-1 in their last 5 games.
Vikings are 2-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Vikings are 1-0 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Vikings' last 3 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Vikings' 2 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Vikings	2-1	1-1	1-0	1-1	1-0
Bengals	1-2	1-0	0-2	1-1	0-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Vikings	2-1	1-1	1-0	1-1	1-0
Bengals	2-1	1-0	1-1	1-1	1-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Vikings	2-1	N/A	N/A	1-1	1-0
Bengals	2-1	N/A	N/A	2-0	0-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 15th	ATL	L 6-22	-3.5 L	U 44.5	ATL -170
Sep 9th	@CHI	W 27-24	+1 W	O 43.5	MIN -105
Aug 23rd	@TEN	L 13-23	+3.5 L	U 37	TEN +140
Aug 16th	NE	L 12-20	-1.5 L	U 37	NE -125
Aug 9th	HOU	W 20-10	-6 W	U 38.5	MIN -260

Aaron Jones
RB
Jones is out with hamstring
Out

Sione Takitaki
LB
Takitaki is questionable with groin
Questionable
Rondale Moore
WR
Moore is out with knee
Out
J.J. McCarthy
QB
McCarthy is out with ankle
Out
Elijah Williams
DE
Williams is out with hamstring
Out

Samaje Perine
RB
Perine is questionable with thumb
Questionable
Noah Fant
TE
Fant is doubtful with concussion
Doubtful
Joe Burrow
QB
Burrow is out with toe
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Bengals

Total

Vikings

171

Total Yards

352

Total Plays

3.3

Yards Per Play

6.1

Bengals

Passing

Vikings

140

YDS

202

19/27

Comps/Atts

16/24

3.806

YPA

6.778

1/2

TDs/INTs

2/0

4/22

Sacks/Yards

3/19

Bengals

Rushing

Vikings

Rush Yards

169

Attempts

2.524

YPC

5.452

TDs

Bengals

Turnovers

Vikings

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Bengals

Efficiency

Vikings

1/1 100%

Redzone

4/5 80%

3/11 0%

3rd Down

4/12 0%

0/0 0%

4th Down

1/1 0%

Bengals

First Downs

Vikings

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Bengals

Misc

Vikings

4/45

Penalties/Yards

13/105

29:04

Possession

30:56

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MatchupOverUnder
Bengals 2-1	o19.5-124	u19.5+101
Vikings 2-1	o23-111	u23-112

Bengals vs. Vikings Odds & Betting Predictions - September 21, 2025

Bengals at Vikings

Cincinnati Bengals

Minnesota Vikings

Bengals at Vikings Odds

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Public

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