Chargers vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Predictions - January 12, 2026

Chargers at Patriots

1:00 am • NBC/Peacock
@

Chargers at Patriots Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Chargers
0-0
+3.5
+3.5-110
o46-110
+165
Patriots
0-0
u45.5
-3.5-110
u46-110
-200
location pinMonday 1:00 a.m.
January 12, 2026
Gillette StadiumFoxborough
thermometer image36°Fahrenheit
rain image29%Rain
wind image7Wind
Chargers vs. Patriots Expert Picks
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 135-98-0 (+62.7u)
Under 46-110
1u
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Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 84-84-1 (+4.7u)
LAC +170
0.25u
Sweetener on my LAC +3.5 bet.
LAC +3.5+102
1.5u
Chargers 4-0 SU as dogs this season, Drake Maye is making his 1st career playoff start vs. a QB with playoff experience. QBs making their first playoff start vs QBs who have playoff experience are 20-39-1 ATS (34%) and 20-40 SU since 2002. Something to consider for New England: Milton Williams being back on the d-line is huge. From week 10 to week 18, the Pats run D allowed 131 yards on the ground per game. almost perfectly coincides with his absence. But I’m still fading this team. The Pats beat up on some bad defenses themselves throughout the season – they haven’t played a top 10 defense since week 8. (pre-halloween)
Under 46.5-115
0.58u
Per Evan Abrams: Since 2004, outdoor Wild Card games are 49-23 (68%) to the under. Add to that, the Patriots offense hasn’t gone up against a top 10 EPA/play defense since week 8 and we have a 2nd year QB in Drake Maye making his first playoff start.
Roger Goodell
Roger Goodell
Last 30d: 32-41-1 (-8.4u)
LAC +170
0.5u
LAC +3.5-105
1u
I’m not finished fading these Patriots
Lock & Cash
Lock & Cash
Last 30d: 7-9-0 (-0.9u)
LAC +3.5-105
1.5u
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 62-51-7 (+4.5u)
LAC +3.5-105
0.5u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 113-113-1 (-21.0u)
LAC +3.5-110
2.2u
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 271-264-4 (+13.9u)
NE -3-125
$1.25
FTN Fantasy
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 143-116-1 (+13.0u)
LAC +3.5-109
1u

Chargers vs. Patriots Previews & Analysis

  • NFL Wild Card Betting Trends, Stats, Notes: Action Network Betting Preview article feature image

    NFL Wild Card Betting Trends, Stats, Notes: Action Network Betting Preview

    Evan Abrams
    Jan 7, 2026 UTC
  • NFL Wild Card Round Picks Against The Spread! | The Sunday Six Pack article feature image

    NFL Wild Card Round Picks Against The Spread! | The Sunday Six Pack

    Stuckey
    Jan 7, 2026 UTC
  • Koerner's Wild Card Round Spreads & Totals article feature image

    Koerner's Wild Card Round Spreads & Totals

    Sean Koerner
    Jan 7, 2026 UTC
  • NFL Wild Card Betting Preview & Trends To Know! | The Favorites Podcast article feature image

    NFL Wild Card Betting Preview & Trends To Know! | The Favorites Podcast

    Jan 6, 2026 UTC
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Chargers vs. Patriots Props

Prop Projections

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Chargers vs. Patriots Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Chargers

Public

36%

Bets%

64%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Patriots
12-55-47-18-34-2
Chargers
9-85-33-55-74-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Patriots
11-66-35-37-44-2
Chargers
7-103-53-55-72-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Patriots
14-36-38-010-14-2
Chargers
11-65-35-37-54-1

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jan 4thMIAW 38-10-14.5 WO 44.5NE -1048
Dec 28th@NYJW 42-10-13 WO 42.5NE -1050
Dec 22nd@BALW 28-24+3.5 WO 47.5NE +171
Dec 14thBUFL 31-35+2.5 LO 49.5BUF +120
Dec 2ndNYGW 33-15-7 WO 46.5NE -372

Patriots vs. Chargers Injury Updates

Patriots Injuries

  • Mack Hollins
    WR

    Hollins is out with abdomen

    Out

  • Antonio Gibson
    RB

    Gibson is out with knee

    Out

  • Charles Woods
    CB

    Woods is questionable with concussion

    Questionable

  • Terrell Jennings
    RB

    Jennings is out with concussion

    Out

Chargers Injuries

  • Najee Harris
    RB

    Harris is out with achilles

    Out

Player Stats
  • passing yards
    Drake Maye logo
    Drake Maye
    4394
    pyds
  • passing touchdowns
    Drake Maye logo
    Drake Maye
    31
    ptd
  • rushing yards
    TreVeyon Henderson logo
    TreVeyon Henderson
    911
    ryds
  • rushing touchdowns
    TreVeyon Henderson logo
    TreVeyon Henderson
    9
    rtd
Depth Charts
Right Arrow
Starter2ND3RD4TH
QBDrake MayeJoshua Dobbs
RBRhamondre StevensonTreVeyon HendersonAntonio GibsonTerrell Jennings
WRDeMario DouglasEfton ChismJohn Jiles
TEHunter HenryAustin HooperJack WestoverCJ Dippre
LTWill CampbellVederian Lowe
LGJared WilsonMehki Butler
CGarrett BradburyBen Brown
RGMike Onwenu
RTMorgan MosesCaedan WallaceMarcus Bryant
RDEMilton WilliamsJoshua Farmer
LCBCarlton DavisAlex AustinMiles Battle
SSJaylinn HawkinsCraig Woodson
FSBrenden SchoolerDell Pettus
RCBChristian GonzalezKobee MinorBrandon Crossley
PBryce Baringer
HBryce Baringer
PRMarcus JonesDeMario Douglas
KRTreVeyon HendersonAntonio Gibson
LSJulian Ashby
LILBRobert SpillaneJack GibbensMarte Mapu
RWRMack HollinsKyle Williams
DTChristian Barmore
LWRStefon DiggsKayshon BoutteJeremiah Webb
ROLBHarold LandryK'Lavon ChaissonBradyn SwinsonElijah Ponder
KAndy Borregales
NTKhyiris Tonga
RILBChristian EllissJahlani Tavai
NBMarcus Jones
LOLBAnfernee Jennings
Team Stats
3608
YDS
4258
367/569
Comps/Atts
361/502
6.947
YPA
8.882
26/14
TDs/INTs
31/8
60/345
Sacks/Yards
48/201
2067
Rush Yards
2191
466
Attempts
494
4.436
YPC
4.435
10
TDs
22
Fumbles Lost
14
Interceptions
8
27/57 47.37%
Redzone
36/63 57.14%
115/251 0%
3rd Down
85/198 0%
12/21 0%
4th Down
18/25 0%

First Downs

331
Total
360
185
Pass
206
117
Rush
128
29
Penalty
26
/
Penalties/Yards
/
Possession

Chargers vs. Patriots Odds Comparison

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Chargers at Patriots Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Chargers
0-0
N/A
N/A
Patriots
0-0
N/A
N/A