Chiefs vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - January 21, 2024

Chiefs at Bills

11:30 pm • CBS

Kansas City Chiefs

2-1

27 - 24

Buffalo Bills

2-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Chiefs 2-1	+2.5	+2.5-105	o45.5-115	+125
Bills 2-1	u45.5	-2.5-115	u45.5-105	-150

Sunday 11:30 p.m.

January 21, 2024

Highmark StadiumOrchard Park

BUF +0.5 (Live)+100

They’re winning

S.Diggs u62.5 Rec Yds (Live)-125

0.8u

J.Cook o18.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110

0.91u

T.Sherfield Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+2100

0.1u

I.Pacheco o55.5 Rush Yds (Live)-110

0.91u

Over 23 (2H)-120

1.2u

S.Diggs o43.5 Rec Yds (Live)-114

$57.00

T.Sherfield o0.5 Rec Yds (Live)+125

1.25u

BUF -105 (Live)

Go Josh go!

N.Gray o17.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110

J.Cook Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+425

0.25u

S.Diggs u45.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110

0.91u

J.Allen u79.5 Rush Yds (Live)-110

0.91u

I.Pacheco o8.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110

0.91u

L.Murray Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+4500

0.25u

Over 22.5 (1H)-140

T.Kelce o69.5 Rec Yds (Live)-115

$100.00

D.Knox u1.5 Recs-130

Under 46-110

1.1u

KC +3-144

0.69u

T.Sherfield Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1000

0.25u

KC +128

0.64u

KC +3-125

J.Allen o43.5 Rush Yds-110

J.Allen o8.5 Rush Att-125

Over in 4/6 to close the regular season, and over in the L5 vs KC. Should see some designed runs, sneaks, and most importantly, scrambles against a KC defense that generated the 2nd most pressure this season. Allen’s scramble rate triples against pressure.

Under 45.5-105

KC +2.5+100

S.Diggs u60.5 Rec Yds-110

Read why: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-fade-stefon-diggs-in-bills-chiefs

J.Allen o42.5 Rush Yds-135

0.74u

D.Knox u1.5 Recs-135

0.74u

J.Allen u43.5 Rush Yds+100

1.1u

@ActionIsland

Under 45.5-105

1.05u

@ActionIsland

Under 45.5-105

1.58u

KC +125

3.13u

T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes+125

1.88u

Under 45.5-110

0.55u

Under 45.5-110

0.75u

VegasInsider.com’s Razor Ray Monohan SUN Free Play! Follow on X @Cappers_Picks

KC +2.5+100

$100.00

J.Allen o42.5 Rush Yds-115

BUF -2.5-120

$120.00

Under 45.5-110

KC +3-120

$50.00

Under 45.5-110

1.1u

Projection: 43.4. For more, check out Fantasy Life.

Under 45.5-110

BUF -140

1.4u

BUF -142

1.42u

KC +2.5+100

I.Pacheco Anytime TD Scorer+120

0.9u

@charliedisturco

R.Rice Anytime TD Scorer+130

Via Brian Matthews

J.Cook Anytime TD Scorer+160

@GDAWG5000

M.Hardman Anytime TD Scorer+800

0.25u

@charliedisturco

D.Knox u1.5 Recs-120

0.83u

@The_Oddsmaker

Under 45.5-110

@ChrisRaybon

BUF -2.5-120

@SimonHunterNFL

BUF -2.5-120

Under 45.5-110

D.Knox u1.5 Recs-120

Under 45.5-110

BUF -145

1.45u

J.Cook o18.5 Rec Yds-114

0.44u

@GDAWG5000

P.Mahomes o26.5 Rush Yds-114

0.5u

@GDAWG5000

T.Sherfield Anytime TD Scorer Yes+950

0.5u

@The_Oddsmaker

J.Watson 40+ Receiving Yards Yes+230

0.5u

@The_Oddsmaker

Under 45.5-110

0.5u

@nick_giffen

J.Allen u43.5 Rush Yds-114

0.5u

@nick_giffen

KC +3-120

KC +3-115

0.87u

Under 45.5-110

… outside unders postseason Overall: 80-52-2,61% (ROI:17%) Season:2-0-0,100% (ROI:91%)

J.Cook Anytime TD Scorer Yes+160

BUF -2.5-110

1.1u

Simon Says

KC -2.5+150

1.5u

Selling points!

KC +125

1.25u

KC +3-120

Over 45.5-110

0.91u

Under 45.5-108

BUF -2.5-118

L.Sneed o4.5 Tackles + Ast-115

Sneed is going to shadow (mostly, at least) Stefon Diggs, which is going to open him up a lot of target volume his way, especially on shorter routes. And he’s a quality run stopper, and is active on RB screens. While he only hit this in 8/17 games, he did have 7 vs BUF (despite Diggs only catching 4/11 targets). The ball should be in his realm a lot.

J.Watson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+550

0.5u

M.Hardman u17.5 Rec Yds-118

0.85u

KC +126

$63.00

$50 FREE BET

J.Allen o8.5 Rush Att-128

$50.00

Tailing @TokenPicks

KC +2.5+100

$100.00

J.Allen Anytime TD Scorer Yes+100

0.75u

At least 1 rushing touchdown in 10 of his last 12 games. Played his anytime TD last week, and playing it again this week. Only place I could find this at plus odds. Had 10 carries for 32 yards and a touchdown when the Bills played in KC earlier this year.

P.Mahomes o24.5 Rush Yds-114

0.75u

This offense is still not clicking on all cylinders and one element that’s helped them lately has been Mahomes using his legs. Expect the Chiefs to be fighting an uphill battle in Buffalo and Mahomes running ability should be needed to extend drives.

BUF -2-110

2.2u

Featured Insight
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 64.0% on 3rd and short this season -- T-9th-best in NFL; the Bills defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 64.0% when defending on 3rd and short this season -- 8th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Bills have pressured opposing QBs on 28.0% of passing plays this season -- 7th-best in NFL; the Chiefs have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 27% of pass attempts this season -- T-7th-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Bills are 2-1 in their last 5 games.
Bills are 2-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bills are 0-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bills' last 3 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Bills' 2 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	2-1	2-0	0-1	1-0	1-1
Chiefs	1-2	1-1	4-4-1	1-2	1-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bills	2-1	1-1	1-0	0-1	2-0
Chiefs	2-1	1-1	3-6	2-1	1-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	2-1	N/A	N/A	1-0	1-1
Chiefs	2-1	N/A	N/A	2-1	1-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jan 15th	PIT	W 31-17	-10 W	O 39.5	BUF -500
Jan 8th	@MIA	W 21-14	-2.5 W	U 48	BUF -150
Dec 31st	NE	W 27-21	-14.5 L	O 40	BUF -1200
Dec 24th	@LAC	W 24-22	-12.5 L	O 44.5	BUF -800
Dec 17th	DAL	W 31-10	-2.5 W	U 49.5	BUF -140

Mecole Hardman
WR
Hardman is out with knee
Out

Skyy Moore
WR
Moore is doubtful with abdomen
Doubtful
Rashee Rice
WR
Rice is out with leg
Out
Cam Jones
LB
Jones is questionable with illness
Questionable
Jared Wiley
TE
Wiley is out with knee
Out
Spencer Shrader
K
Shrader is out with hamstring
Out

Taylor Rapp
S
Rapp is out with back
Out
Christian Benford
CB
Benford is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Baylon Spector
LB
Spector is out with calf
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Chiefs

Total

Bills

361

Total Yards

368

Total Plays

7.7

Yards Per Play

4.7

Chiefs

Passing

Bills

215

YDS

186

17/23

Comps/Atts

26/39

9.348

YPA

4.769

2/0

TDs/INTs

1/0

0/0

Sacks/Yards

0/0

Chiefs

Rushing

Bills

146

Rush Yards

182

Attempts

6.083

YPC

4.667

TDs

Chiefs

Turnovers

Bills

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Chiefs

Efficiency

Bills

2/4 50%

Redzone

3/4 75%

1/5 0%

3rd Down

7/14 0%

0/0 0%

4th Down

2/3 0%

Chiefs

First Downs

Bills

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Chiefs

Misc

Bills

2/15

Penalties/Yards

5/28

22:57

Possession

37:03

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MatchupOverUnder
Chiefs 2-1	o22.5-108	u22.5-112
Bills 2-1	o23.5-122	u23.5-105

Chiefs vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - January 21, 2024

Chiefs at Bills

Kansas City Chiefs

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Chiefs at Bills Odds

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Chiefs vs. Bills Previews & Analysis

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NFL Weather: Snow to Impact Bills vs. Chiefs?

Prop Bomb: Fade Stefon Diggs in Bills-Chiefs

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Chiefs

Public

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Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

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Chiefs vs. Bills Odds Comparison

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