Steelers vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - January 15, 2024
Steelers at Bills
9:30 pm • CBSSteelers at Bills Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Steelers 4-2 | +10 | +10-110 | o39.5-110 | +375 |
Bills 3-2 | u38.5 | -10-110 | u39.5-110 | -500 |
Monday 9:30 p.m.
January 15, 2024Highmark StadiumOrchard Park
Steelers vs. Bills Expert Picks
Charlie DiSturco
273d ago
Last 30d: 67-102-0 (+5.7u)
J.Cook u86.5 Rush Yds (Live)-120
0.25u
Small hedge and decent middle shot
Jeremiah Rose
273d ago
Last 30d: 48-59-0 (-4.9u)
BUF -8.5 (Live)-110
0.36u
Sandy Plashkes
273d ago
Last 30d: 119-110-3 (+16.1u)
M.Rudolph o201.5 Pass Yds (Live)-114
$50.00
Bet What Happens Live!
273d ago
Last 30d: 68-102-0 (-0.8u)
L.Murray Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+4500
0.1u
J.Cook Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+400
0.5u
T.Johnson Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+1800
0.1u
G.Pickens Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+650
0.5u
D.Kincaid u64.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110
0.91u
S.Diggs u58.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110
0.91u
P.Freiermuth o56.5 Rec Yds (Live)-108
0.93u
J.Allen u234.5 Pass Yds (Live)-110
0.91u
N.Harris o51.5 Rush Yds (Live)-110
1u
Charlie DiSturco
273d ago
Last 30d: 67-102-0 (+5.7u)
J.Cook o84.5 Rush + Rec Yds-114
1.14u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
273d ago
Last 30d: 150-160-2 (-12.3u)
PIT +10-110
1u
… contrarian spread playoffs
Overall: 70-47-3,60% (ROI:16%)
Season:2-0-0,100% (ROI:98%)
Charlie DiSturco
273d ago
Last 30d: 67-102-0 (+5.7u)
S.Diggs Anytime TD Scorer Yes+160
0.5u
Sandy Plashkes
273d ago
Last 30d: 119-110-3 (+16.1u)
J.Allen o39.5 Rush Yds-120
$50.00
Vegas Refund
273d ago
Last 30d: 33-41-1 (-12.1u)
BUF -10-105
1u
YBK Picks.com
273d ago
Last 30d: 52-39-2 (+19.4u)
Under 39-105
2u
Dale Tanhardt
273d ago
Last 30d: 14-73-0 (+20.2u)
BUF o12.5 Team Total (1H)-122
1.64u
69 with Dale
20 Days until the NASCAR Busch Light Clash!
Kyle Murray
273d ago
Last 30d: 89-73-4 (+11.8u)
J.Allen o36.5 Rush Yds-112
0.89u
J.Warren o3.5 Recs+120
1u
K.Shakir o2.5 Recs-135
0.74u
Capper Central
273d ago
Last 30d: 24-36-0 (-22.6u)
BUF -10-110
$68.18
#Contrarian #Injury #Sharp
Charlie DiSturco
273d ago
Last 30d: 67-102-0 (+5.7u)
C.Heyward Anytime TD Scorer Yes+3300
0.05u
🎯
Action Island
273d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
N.Harris u7.5 Rec Yds-110
0.5u
@nick_giffen
D.Knox u13.5 Rec Yds-112
0.45u
@The_Oddsmaker
J.Allen u38.5 Rush Yds-102
0.5u
@GDAWG5000
J.Warren o19.5 Rec Yds-115
0.5u
@GDAWG5000
G.Pickens u3.5 Recs-138
0.5u
@The_Oddsmaker
BUF -10-110
0.45u
@nick_giffen
Nick Giffen
273d ago
Last 30d: 57-109-2 (+23.4u)
N.Harris u1.5 Recs-125
1.25u
Sean Koerner
273d ago
Last 30d: 36-25-0 (+7.6u)
L.Murray u9.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
Charlie DiSturco
273d ago
Last 30d: 67-102-0 (+5.7u)
L.Murray u9.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
@The_Oddsmaker
Sandy Plashkes
273d ago
Last 30d: 119-110-3 (+16.1u)
L.Murray Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1100
$10.00
Bruce Marshall
273d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 35.5-110
0.91u
PIT +10-110
1u
Greg Matherne
273d ago
Last 30d: 37-52-1 (-3.8u)
BUF -10-110
1u
Pittsburg is the only 10 win team in NFL history that is worse and luckier than the 2023-24 Eagles. The Bills stormed into the playoffs, the Steelers limped in on luck, I don’t expect this to be close.
The Degenerates
273d ago
Last 30d: 59-55-2 (+0.7u)
PIT +9.5-105
1.05u
Simon Hunter
273d ago
Last 30d: 21-26-4 (-7.5u)
M.Rudolph u170.5 Pass Yds-115
1u
Shady Biev
273d ago
Last 30d: 103-98-1 (+19.9u)
N.Harris Anytime TD Scorer Yes+165
1u
S.Diggs u64.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
PIT +10-110
2.75u
Matthew Freedman
274d ago
Last 30d: 6-3-0 (+3.1u)
Under 38.5-110
1.1u
Projection: 37.7. For more, check out Fantasy Life.
Ray Monohan
274d ago
Last 30d: 9-15-0 (-5.0u)
Under 38.5-110
0.75u
VegasInsider.com’s Razor Ray Monohan MON. Free Play! Follow on X @Cappers_Picks
Sandy Plashkes
274d ago
Last 30d: 119-110-3 (+16.1u)
BUF -9.5-120
$50.00
Scott Rickenbach
274d ago
Last 30d: 57-51-0 (-4.9u)
Under 39-110
1u
Kevin Thomas
274d ago
Last 30d: 23-23-0 (-1.8u)
PIT +10-110
1u
Scott Pritchard
274d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 38.5-110
0.91u
The Touchdown Show
274d ago
Last 30d: 9-42-0 (+2.6u)
S.Diggs Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155
1u
@charliedisturco
D.Kincaid Anytime TD Scorer Yes+350
1.75u
Via Brian Matthews
Buffalo D Anytime TD Scorer Yes+500
0.25u
@GDAWG5000
Pittsburgh D Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1000
0.5u
@GDAWG5000 and @nick_giffen
Convince Me
274d ago
Last 30d: 37-23-0 (+10.8u)
M.Rudolph u169 Pass Yds-115
1u
@SimonHunterNFL
J.Warren u8.5 Rush Att-135
0.74u
@ChrisRaybon
D.Knox u14.5 Rec Yds-110
0.91u
@The_Oddsmaker
Nick Giffen
274d ago
Last 30d: 57-109-2 (+23.4u)
Pittsburgh D Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1000
0.25u
Chad Millman
274d ago
Last 30d: 18-21-1 (-3.8u)
J.Warren u8.5 Rush Att-130
0.77u
Kyle Murray
275d ago
Last 30d: 89-73-4 (+11.8u)
PIT +10-110
1u
Chad Millman
275d ago
Last 30d: 18-21-1 (-3.8u)
Over 35-108
0.93u
Collin Wilson
275d ago
Last 30d: 69-63-4 (-3.8u)
Over 33.5-110
1u
Grant Neiffer
275d ago
Last 30d: 20-32-0 (-11.6u)
J.Allen u205.5 Pass Yds-110
1u
Green Dot Daily
276d ago
Last 30d: 76-96-0 (+2.6u)
T.Bass u6.5 Kicking Pts-108
1u
@nick_giffen
Collin Whitchurch
276d ago
Last 30d: 177-151-3 (+10.6u)
T.Bass u6.5 Kicking Pts-110
1.1u
Nick Giffen
276d ago
Last 30d: 57-109-2 (+23.4u)
T.Bass u6.5 Kicking Pts-115
1.15u
@GreenDotDaily
Collin Whitchurch
276d ago
Last 30d: 177-151-3 (+10.6u)
D.Knox u15.5 Rec Yds-130
1u
Sean Koerner
276d ago
Last 30d: 36-25-0 (+7.6u)
D.Knox u15.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
Sunday Six Pack
276d ago
Last 30d: 13-15-2 (-3.8u)
J.Warren u9.5 Rush Att-110
1u
Raybon 3
The Favorites Podcast
276d ago
Last 30d: 7-12-1 (-6.2u)
BUF -10-110
1u
Executive Decision
Nick Giffen
277d ago
Last 30d: 57-109-2 (+23.4u)
Over 35-110
1u
#LuckRankings
Sean Zerillo
277d ago
Last 30d: 151-175-7 (-5.1u)
Under 35.5-110
0.55u
Gilles Gallant
277d ago
Last 30d: 36-80-0 (-1.7u)
Pittsburgh D Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1000
0.2u
Bet both Bills D/ST at +500 for 0.3U and Steelers D/ST TD at +1000 for 0.2U. Make sure your book includes special teams and not just defense.
Buffalo D Anytime TD Scorer Yes+500
0.3u
Bet both Bills D/ST at +500 for 0.3U and Steelers D/ST TD at +1000 for 0.2U. Make sure your book includes special teams and not just defense.
PJ Walsh
278d ago
Last 30d: 4-2-0 (+1.5u)
Under 36-110
1u
Latest forecast shows very cold temperatures with steady winds above 20 mph and gusts up to 44 mph.
Chris Raybon
278d ago
Last 30d: 24-15-0 (+5.3u)
J.Warren u9.5 Rush Att-120
0.83u
Prop Bet Guy
279d ago
Last 30d: 78-70-0 (-1.0u)
J.Warren u9.5 Rush Att-115
1u
Under in 12/17 (including 6/7 Steelers losses) and the Bills allowed the third fewest rush att per game, mainly due to pace and gamescripts.
Pace - since both teams changed OCs, they’ve really slowed down the pace. Both teams rank within as the 12 slowest teams in neutral gamescripts since Week 12 (in terms of seconds per play).
Gamescript - Bills are rolling, they should control this one throughout, especially with the Steelers without TJ Watt.
Weather could come into play, but it was very evident last week that the Steelers are going to use Najee as their banger. Warren with only 30% of PiTT’s rushing attempts the last three games. And quite honestly, Najee has looked better.
We saw Najee get 26 attempts to Warren’s 9 in a gross weather game last week, in a rare game where the Steelers dominated time of possession. I don’t see that happening a the Bills.
Chad Millman
279d ago
Last 30d: 18-21-1 (-3.8u)
BUF -10-110
0.91u
Jim Sannes
280d ago
Last 30d: 9-33-0 (-14.7u)
Over 35.5-115
0.87u
My model is well above this total, even when you account for the wind. Current wind projections are at 20 miles per hour. With that assumed, I have the total at 43.2. If you reduced the wind speed to 5 miles per hour, my model has this at 45.8. So I think I'm already moving pretty far with this total -- and I'm still more than 5 points away from the market. There's likely no TJ Watt in this game, which dings the Steelers' defense, and the spread here is large, which correlates with a higher total. I understand why this total is where it's at, given the forecast, but I think it has moved too far down.
Joe Dellera
281d ago
Last 30d: 38-38-3 (+7.2u)
BUF -8.5-110
0.45u
Nick Giffen
281d ago
Last 30d: 57-109-2 (+23.4u)
BUF -7.5-115
1u
#LuckRankings
PRO Insights
Steelers
PIT Insights
- Featured InsightThe Steelers are averaging 4.5 yards per carry this season -- T-6th-best in NFL; the Bills have allowed 4.8 yards per carry to RBs this season -- T-3rd-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Bills
BUF Insights
- Featured InsightBills TEs had 1 receiving touchdown in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- T-10th-most in NFL; the Steelers allowed 2 receiving touchdowns to TEs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- T-5th-most in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Steelers vs. Bills Previews & Analysis
Steelers vs. Bills Props
Prop Projections
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Steelers vs. Bills Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Bills are 1-1 in their last 5 games.
- Bills are 1-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Bills are 2-2 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bills' last 2 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bills' 2 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Steelers vs. Bills Injury Updates
Steelers Injuries
- Cordarrelle PattersonRB
Patterson is out with ankle
Out
- MyCole PruittTE
Pruitt is out with knee
Out
- Damontae KazeeS
Kazee is out with ankle
Out
- DeMarvin LealDE
Leal is out with neck
Out
- Jaylen WarrenRB
Warren is questionable with knee
Questionable
- Nick HerbigLB
Herbig is out with hamstring
Out
Bills Injuries
- James CookRB
Cook is questionable with toe
Questionable
Team Stats
Steelers vs. Bills Odds Comparison
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Steelers at Bills Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Steelers 4-2 | o14.5-105 | u14.5-125 |
Bills 3-2 | o24.5+100 | u24.5-115 |