Jets vs. 49ers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 10, 2024

This is all Trebby's fault

ML back down. Buying piece back/going for middle in what I think will be lower scoring game. Bet this partly with hope of bad SF roster news but opposite happened. Also concerned a bit more about Rodgers after watching Cousins yesterday. Niners by 3 please

Resorts World

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/tyler-conklin-player-prop-prediction-for-jets-vs-49ers-on-mnf?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=propbetguy

Free range chicken courtesy of big boy Brock

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Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The New York Jets enter this matchup rejuvenated by Aaron Rodgers' return from injury, elevating expectations after last season’s disappointing start. Rodgers’ track record against the 49ers is formidable, with a career 20:2 TD to INT ratio. With his elite precision, he’s set to exploit San Francisco’s pass defense, which ranked a mediocre 14th last season. The Jets also boast a solid running game led by Breece Hall, who averaged an impressive 4.5 yards per carry in 2023. Complementing the run game is their top receiving threat, Garrett Wilson, who has surpassed 1,000 receiving yards in each of his first two NFL seasons. San Francisco’s pass defense, though talented, isn’t impenetrable, and with Rodgers' experience and offensive weapons, New York’s offense will look to challenge their secondary early and often. Defensively, the Jets are stacked. C.J. Mosley is a tackling machine, and their secondary, anchored by Sauce Gardner, is among the best in the NFL. Gardner's ability to lock down opposing WRs is vital, especially against a dangerous 49ers’ receiving corps that includes Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk. While Brock Purdy shined last season with over 4,000 passing yards, he’s never faced a secondary as elite as New York's, which ranked 2nd in the league against the pass. This could limit his effectiveness, especially given the Jets’ ability to pressure the quarterback and disrupt offensive rhythm. On the other side, San Francisco’s defense, ranked 3rd against the run, will be a tough test for Breece Hall. However, Rodgers’ ability to get the ball out quickly and exploit mismatches in the passing game may negate their defensive strengths. While Nick Bosa and Fred Warner are game-wreckers, Rodgers’ veteran savvy and quick reads can counteract their pass rush, making it difficult for San Francisco to dominate defensively. Additionally, with some coaching changes, particularly on the defensive side with the departure of Steve Wilks, there could be some early season communication issues that a team like the Jets, with so many offensive weapons, can exploit. With one of the league’s best defenses and an experienced, healthy quarterback in Rodgers, the Jets can keep this game close. San Francisco’s offense will likely struggle to consistently move the ball against New York’s stifling defense, especially in the passing game.

The jets offense is pretty much in last in all categories, while the 49ers have better number offensively. #ProSystem

Inverse of last night’s read

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Signal of the Day

Make em say ho

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Avery

Add. Donkey 🐔🔒

Last season after they took the training wheels off, Breece was over this line in 9/13. Rodgers in at QB now, and he’s no stranger to throwing to RBs - his last two seasons in GB, his RBs averaged 5.2 catches per game in each season). Hall will be backed up by Braelon Allen, who isn’t a great receiver - it’s likely the Jets ride their guy right out of the gate. The 49ers defense the last few seasons has been predicated on keeping the ball in front of them (Sorensen is the new DC, but has been on the staff for a few seasons now - and Shanahan has mentioned the importance of Sorensen already knowing the scheme). Last season they allowed the sixth most catches per game to RBs (5.3), and the fifth lowest aDOT (7.2 yards). And their coverage on the flats will take a hit with no Greenlaw this season. I see the Jets scripting some plays for Hall as a receiver (he lead the NFL with 30 screen targets last season - 28 of them in the finals 13 game stretch). And with the Jets wanting to keep Rodgers upright, checkdowns will happen as well. Wilson will have a tough spot vs Ward, Mike Williams is not a volume threat, and Corley is a rookie. Plus, Tyler Conklin, another check down option, has a brutal matchup. Play to -145.

Locked in the 4.5 in the contest on Thursday.

All in Jets!

Boyd

Im a jets fan (delusional). Disregard PICKEM #3

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