Patriots vs. Bears Odds & Betting Predictions - November 10, 2024

Patriots at Bears

6:00 pm • FOX

New England Patriots

4-13

19 - 3

Chicago Bears

5-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Patriots 4-13	+5.5	+6.5-110	o37.5-110	+242
Bears 5-12	u43	-6.5-110	u37.5-110	-302

Sunday 6:00 p.m.

November 10, 2024

Soldier FieldChicago

CHI -3.5 (Live)-107

$1070.00

D.Swift Anytime TD Scorer Yes+115

Mild bet for the TD show

D.Swift o71.5 Rush Yds-115

D.Swift Anytime TD Scorer Yes+115

@TheBMatt

NE +6.5-105

1.9u

Under 37.5-108

0.46u

C.Williams u29.5 Pass Att-115

0.75u

C.Williams u29.5 Pass Att-114

@The_Oddsmaker

Under 37.5-110

0.91u

@ChrisRaybon

Under 38.5-110

0.91u

C.Williams u29.5 Pass Att-115

0.58u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

C.Williams u29.5 Pass Att-114

1.14u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

C.Williams u29.5 Pass Att-114

1.14u

NE +6-108

0.25u

D.Moore o50 Rec Yds+100

Under 38.5-110

0.91u

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Patriots' offense remains one of the NFL's least efficient, with rookie QB Drake Maye struggling under pressure and turnover issues. Chicago’s offense, led by Caleb Williams, lacks consistency, hindered by injuries on the offensive line and a weak third-down conversion rate. Both defenses hold advantages: Chicago excels in limiting big plays and third downs, while New England's defense remains solid despite injuries, especially in low-scoring situations.

D.Swift u17.5 Rush Att-118

0.85u

CHI -6-112

D.Swift o71.5 Rush Yds-110

Feed the Chicago beast

CHI -6-110

1.65u

CHI -6-110

1.1u

NE +6-105

2.86u

H.Henry o4.5 Recs+130

Under 38.5-110

0.5u

R.Odunze o38.5 Rec Yds-115

1.15u

H.Henry Anytime TD Scorer Yes+400

0.3u

CHI -6-105

1.05u

R.Odunze o37.5 Rec Yds-120

C.Santos u1.5 FGs Made-105

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-predictions-week-10-expert-data-driven-picks-for-sunday

D.Maye o28.5 Rush Yds-113

1.13u

Maye has been excellent on the ground in limited action. He's appeared in 5 games, but he's really only played about 3.5. Maye played the final 5 minutes of New England's Week 3 loss to the Jets. He started against the Jets in Week 8, but he was knocked out of the game with a concussion. Despite the limited action, Maye is 12th among quarterbacks in rushing yards. He's done it on just 21 carries. Every QB ahead of him has at least 38 attempts. Maye, just like Jacoby Brissett before him, has been harassed by opposing defenses. New England has allowed the highest pressure rate in the league. Their 11% pressure rate over expectation leads the league by a wide margin. Only one other team is above 9% (Cleveland at 9.5%). Pressures typically turn into scrambles, and that's what we've seen from Maye. All but one of his attempts have been on scrambles. Maye has been effective when scrambling, ranking 5th in scramble rushing yards. Chicago has the 8th-highest pressure rate in the league. They're 8th in pressure rate over expectation and 9th in time to pressure. The Bears should have no problem exploiting New England's offensive line.

D.Douglas u16.5 Longest Reception-105

1.05u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-week-10-bets-for-derek-carr-demario-douglas

R.Stevenson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+165

R.Odunze o40.5 Rec Yds-115

CHI -6-108

1.08u

Model makes this -9.44 bears bounce back spot here.

Featured Insight
The Patriots have allowed a passer rating of 79.2 with a heavy rush since Week 6 -- T-9th-best in NFL; Bears QBs have a 52.1 passer rating against a heavy rush since Week 6 -- 8th-worst in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

Featured Insight
The Bears have allowed 5.9 yards per dropback against the shotgun this season -- T-6th-best in NFL; the Patriots have thrown for 5.8 yards per attempt out of the shotgun this season -- 4th-worst in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

$Expert Projections Top SNF TD Pick article feature image$
Expert Projections Top SNF TD Pick
Alex Kolodziej•
Nov 11, 2024 UTC
Early Week 11 Bets & NFL Week 10 Recap with Chad Millman & Simon Hunter | The Favorites Podcast
Simon Hunter•
Nov 10, 2024 UTC
NFL Predictive Analytics: Data-Driven Picks for Week 10
Action Predictive Analytics•
Nov 10, 2024 UTC
Gallant's Week 10 ATD Picks & Game Previews
Gilles Gallant•
Nov 10, 2024 UTC

See more NFL Coverage

There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.

No props found

NFL Public Betting

Bears are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Bears are 3-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bears are 3-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Bears' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Bears' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bears	9-7-1	5-2-1	3-5	3-1	6-6-1
Patriots	7-9-1	3-4-1	4-4	N/A	7-9-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bears	7-10	4-4	2-6	2-2	5-8
Patriots	11-6	7-1	3-5	N/A	11-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bears	5-12	N/A	N/A	3-1	2-11
Patriots	4-13	N/A	N/A	N/A	4-13

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 3rd	@ARI	L 9-29	+1.5 L	U 44.5	ARI +102
Oct 27th	@WAS	L 15-18	+1.5 L	U 46.5	WAS +105
Oct 13th	JAC	W 35-16	+1.5 W	O 44.5	CHI +105
Oct 6th	CAR	W 36-10	-4 W	O 40	CHI -180
Sep 29th	LA	W 24-18	-3.5 W	O 40.5	CHI -165

Hunter Henry
TE
Henry is out with foot
Out
Jabrill Peppers
S
Peppers is out with hamstring
Out

Sione Takitaki
LB
Takitaki is questionable with groin
Questionable
Kyle Dugger
S
Dugger is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Anfernee Jennings
LB
Jennings is questionable with knee
Questionable
Cole Strange
G
Strange is questionable with knee
Questionable
Marcus Jones
CB
Jones is out with hip
Out
Ben Brown
C
Brown is out with concussion
Out
Christian Gonzalez
CB
Gonzalez is out with concussion
Out
Alex Austin
CB
Austin is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Titus Leo
LB
Leo is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Jaquelin Roy
DT
Roy is out with foot
Out
Ja'Lynn Polk
WR
Polk is out with shoulder
Out

Ryan Bates
OL
Bates is out with concussion
Out
Travis Homer
RB
Homer is out with hamstring
Out
Jaylon Johnson
DB
Johnson is questionable with illness
Questionable
Darrynton Evans
RB
Evans is out with hamstring
Out
Teven Jenkins
OL
Jenkins is out with calf
Out
Amen Ogbongbemiga
LB
Ogbongbemiga is questionable with hip
Questionable
Braxton Jones
OL
Jones is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Doug Kramer
OL
Kramer is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Elijah Hicks
DB
Hicks is out with ankle
Out
Gervon Dexter
DE
Dexter is questionable with knee
Questionable
Kiran Amegadjie
OL
Amegadjie is questionable with calf
Questionable

See more NFL Injuries

Patriots

Total

Bears

328

Total Yards

142

Total Plays

5.4

Yards Per Play

2.4

Patriots

Passing

Bears

184

YDS

120

15/25

Comps/Atts

16/30

7.077

YPA

1.769

1/1

TDs/INTs

0/0

1/0

Sacks/Yards

9/51

Patriots

Rushing

Bears

144

Rush Yards

Attempts

4.114

YPC

3.65

TDs

Patriots

Turnovers

Bears

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Patriots

Efficiency

Bears

1/5 20%

Redzone

0/1 0%

5/14 0%

3rd Down

1/14 0%

1/1 0%

4th Down

2/4 0%

Patriots

First Downs

Bears

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Patriots

Misc

Bears

7/40

Penalties/Yards

5/25

32:28

Possession

27:32

Could not load odds

See more NFL Odds

MatchupOverUnder
Patriots 4-13	o16.5+100	u16.5-120
Bears 5-12	o22.5-112	u22.5-108

Patriots vs. Bears Odds & Betting Predictions - November 10, 2024

Patriots at Bears

New England Patriots

Chicago Bears

Patriots at Bears Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

PRO Insights

Patriots

Bears

Patriots vs. Bears Previews & Analysis

Expert Projections Top SNF TD Pick

Early Week 11 Bets & NFL Week 10 Recap with Chad Millman & Simon Hunter | The Favorites Podcast

NFL Predictive Analytics: Data-Driven Picks for Week 10

Gallant's Week 10 ATD Picks & Game Previews

Patriots vs. Bears Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Patriots vs. Bears Public Betting Percentages

Patriots

Public

Bears

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Patriots vs. Bears Injury Updates

Patriots Injuries

Bears Injuries

Patriots vs. Bears Odds Comparison

Patriots at Bears Team Totals