Celtics vs. Mavericks Odds & Betting Predictions - June 13, 2024

Big fixer

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Proj closer to -170

I like Celtics 1H, not pulling the trigger though.

@GDAWG5000

Cash That Pod picks with @PropBomb

Home favorites down 2-0 in the NBA Finals are 6-0 straight up in Game 3 since 2003 @HPbasketball

@HPBasketball

#Tailing @PropBomb & @SBK5065

Collab @SBK5065 Run it back a rebound higher. I like this with or without Porzingis playing and line appears to already be factoring in he doesn't play/has limitations. More chance it goes down than up with the news. Going into Game 3 with the mindset Dallas shooting positively regresses at home and are mindful for 2nd chance baskets. For the second straight game, Horford converted on 7 of his 11 chances, but this time, two of his rebounds came from Dallas not controlling the ball on broken possessions, with some other coming from DAL players missing high-% shots under the basket. Although he failed to go under in Game 2, Horford is still being primarily used on defense to switch on Luka Doncic in single-coverage to let him win as a scorer rather than get his teamates in rhythm.

See GDD for analysis

Now over in 2/2 this series, and 8/L9 in the playoffs. Had 20 (in 27 mins) and 30 (w/o Porzingis) in the regular season vs DAL. Benefiting from the Mavs defense pressuring Tatum and Brown to look to pass (the pair is averaging 23.5 potential assists through two games, only averaged 15.7 in the regular season). I like this bet if Porzingis plays, and love it if he doesn’t.

@TurveyBets

Adding a bit here and reposting 🎙️ Discussed on @CashThatPodcast Jrue has been tremendous throughout the Playoffs for the Celtics but has truly shone through in the Finals. He has been dominant on both sides of the ball and is making his presence known as both a disrupter and a facilitator. Holiday is averaging nearly 38 minutes per game in the Finals compared to 30 during the regular season. In his last 10 games he is averaging 11.5 RA and has exceeded this line in 8/10 but more importantly, he’s tallied 13 and 14 in this series. The opportunity is also clearly there. He has averaged 9.5 rebounds on a series leading 16.5 chances along with 4 assists on 9.5 potentials per game during the Finals. I like him to exceed 10.5 RA here, a number he’s cleared in six straight. I’m going to escalate this as well. I’m grabbing Jrue to secure 5+ Rebounds in Every Game (+200 FD), he’s had 8 on 14 chances and 11 on 19 chances in these two games. His rebound distance is a bit far (9.7) but he’s secured 2 and 4 offensive rebounds in these games which is from cutting, slashing, and gameplan. The floor is high. s/o @wheatonbrando for this FD look. Let’s also take him to Lead the Series in Rebounds (+4000 DK). Use the 5+in every game to find this! He’s just 1 behind Tatum and 2 behind Luka for the series lead. It’s unlikely, but this number is clearly wrong given that he is leading in Chances throughout the series.

#Tailing @SBK5065

Here we go again

Tailing @TurveyBets

#Tailing @TheBMatt

Running it back. Hit in his last 6 games overall (8 of his last 9). 13 and 14 r+a in games 1 and 2 of the finals.

See Game 2 reaction article for numbers backing home team G3 after 6+ loss and down 0-2: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/mavericks-miss-their-opportunity-as-tatum-celtics-take-2-0-nba-finals-lead

Gave out on Buckets Live!