Illinois vs. Iowa State Odds & Betting Predictions - March 29, 2024

As usual, #Tailing @nick_giffen

MOM under ... thin value so just to win half unit play

I like this spot for Lipsey. Averaged 17.7 PRA in 30.8 mpg in conference play, but was 5/7 to the over vs the top 6 teams in tempo in the conference (Illinois would have been tied for 1st). Currently over in 4/5 during the postseason, with the miss at 20 vs HOU. Plus, he should see 35+ mins if he stays out of foul trouble. Illinois also shuts off the three pointer, and while Lipsey can hit from deep, he’s more prone to getting the ball to the basket.

Combo wombo with @The_Oddsmaker

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Terrence Shannon ML

Proj - 13.5: For more, check out Fantasy Life.

Really tough spot for Domask. He’s not really a threat from the outside - 71% of his FGA and 58% of his points are via the two pointer. He only shot 29.8% from deep, and only attempted 3.6 3Ps per game. Iowa State is elite defensively (1st per KenPom), but especially so inside the arc. They rank 50th in 2P% (47.2%), 10th in opp % of points via 2P (43.6%), and 9th in opp 2P rate (55%). Couple that with the fact that they play slow (206th in pace), and Illinois is implied at 73 pts (averaged 84 in conference). As is, Domask is under this line in 9/L14 games - I like him to be more of a distributor to Illinois’ better perimeter shooters (Shannon, Hawkins, Goode, Guerrier).