Chargers vs. Broncos Odds & Betting Predictions - October 13, 2024

Jim Harbaugh left the game with an illness. I believe this will have a direct impact on the #Chargers 2H adjustments. #Tailing #ProSystem #ProProjection

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Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Both teams have strong defenses and focus on controlling the game through the run. Denver allows only 4.2 rushing yards per attempt, while Los Angeles is even tougher at 3.9. Both defenses excel in the red zone, forcing opponents into field goals instead of touchdowns. With limited big-play potential and long third downs, this matchup leans toward a low-scoring outcome.

Laying 3 on the road to Denver?

The Chargers are frauds, and people think the Broncos are due to regress. Nah, the Chargers are gonna prove they are a joke this week as the Broncos take care of business easily in this spot

Passing hasn’t been the team’s focus with new playcaller Greg Roman in town. Going into 2024 with a complete new set of weapons, Herbert’s seen his adjusted accuracy % on deep throws of >20 yards dip from 40.2% 📉 to 27.3% which ranks 30th out of 35 qualified QBs and his completion percentage over expectation of -3.0% means no positive regression is in sight. He’s only gone over his prop in one of the five games with 90 of his 91 longest completions falling short of 32 yards. And the matchup should not get any easier up against the impressive Broncos defense ranking 26th in deep throw % and 30th in yards per attempts (5.78). Centered around stud CB Pat Surtain shadowing opposing deep threats and a pass rush that’s pressuring QBs at a 32.6% rate (3rd) and winning their matchups at the highest rate, opposing QBs are not having enough time for their receivers to develop plays. According to Fantasy Points, Herbert’s completion percentage over expectation is -24.2% when pressured which ranks 32nd out of 32 QBs. To expand even further with how impressive they’ve been at limiting big play, they’ve only allowed a 32+ yard LongComp in 1 of the 102 opposing QBs completions (0.9%) with four of the five teams failing to hit this prop. Long adot guys like Mike Williams, DK Metcalf, George Pickens, and Mike Evans all failed to get even a 26+ yard longest reception. #PlayerProps

Since Singleton went down, Barton has registered 7 and 10 combined tackles in two games, and didn’t come off the field. As an everydown LB last season, he was over this line in 8/12 full games (albeit in WSH). But this should be a solid spot against the Chargers, who will run the ball. An off-ball LB has cleared this line in 3/4 games against LAC, who are allowing more than 15 tackles per game to LBs (per PFF).

Raybon 3

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