Dolphins vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Predictions - October 6, 2024

Dolphins at Patriots

5:00 pm • FOX

Miami Dolphins

6-8

15 - 10

New England Patriots

3-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dolphins 6-8	-4.5	-2-115	o36.5-125	-125
Patriots 3-11	u45	+2-110	u36.5-105	+110

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

October 06, 2024

Gillette StadiumFoxborough

MIA -120

0.33u

Under 36.5-110

J.Polk 60+ Receiving Yards Yes+470

0.1u

J.Polk 50+ Receiving Yards Yes+295

0.25u

J.Polk 40+ Receiving Yards Yes+180

0.5u

J.Polk o26.5 Rec Yds-115

1.15u

R.Stevenson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+190

0.95u

MIA -2-105

1.9u

Under 36.5-110

0.5u

T.Hill 40+ Receiving Yards Yes-168

0.6u

MIA -120

0.83u

NE +1.5-110

0.5u

MIA -1.5-110

0.91u

As a New England native I don’t need to lookup historical data to know it gets ugly for the Patriots whenever the Dolphins come to town. I’ll always blindly take Dolphins spread whenever they visit the Patriots #NFLBestBets

New England D Anytime TD Scorer Yes+900

0.25u

Pick 6 incoming

MIA -1.5-108

2.78u

NE o17.5 Team Total+100

This play makes me absolutely sick

Over 36-105

2.1u

NE -105 (1H)

0.95u

#ProSystem 3 or 5 game streak home dog (1h) Overall: 111-123-0,47% (ROI:37%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

K.Bourne u12.5 Longest Reception-120

0.83u

J.Brissett u11.5 Rush Yds-115

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-5-player-prop-picks-for-tee-higgins-andy-dalton-tre-tucker-and-more

J.Polk o2.5 Recs-125

R.Stevenson u56.5 Rush Yds-120

2.4u

announced not starting

Under 30.5+200

Mineshaft! TAN pod / best bets

Under 36.5-110

0.91u

TAN pod / best bets

R.Stevenson u59.5 Rush Yds-115

While nothing is official, NE HC Jerod Mayo didn’t rule out the possibility of starting Antonio Gibson or using him more because of ball security issues. The line was “ball security is job security”, and so far Mayo has been pretty forthcoming about his intentions. I would not be surprised if we saw more Gibson this week, although I’m not over reacting to speculation. The Dolphins in theory aren’t going to want to run a fast pace game, and I’m very confident New England isn’t even capable of that. This might have been a decent under anyway, and the added outs are juicy.

R.Stevenson u59.5 Rush Yds-115

In danger of losing snaps after fumbling in 4 straight + whole O-Line is on IR

Under 36.5-115

MIA +1.5-118

Featured Insight
The Dolphins have allowed a passer rating of 73.5 against a base front this season -- 3rd-best in NFL; the Patriots have allowed a passer rating of 102.2 with a base front this season -- 7th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
Patriots RBs have averaged 2.5 yards after contact per carry this season -- 5th-best in NFL; the Dolphins have allowed 2.3 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season -- T-9th-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Patriots are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Patriots are 2-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Patriots are 3-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Patriots' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Patriots' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Patriots	5-8-1	2-3-1	3-4	N/A	5-8-1
Dolphins	5-9	2-5	3-4	3-5	2-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Patriots	9-5	5-1	3-4	N/A	9-5
Dolphins	6-8	5-2	1-6	5-3	1-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Patriots	3-11	N/A	N/A	N/A	3-11
Dolphins	6-8	N/A	N/A	5-3	1-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 29th	@SF	L 13-30	+10.5 L	O 42.5	SF +425
Sep 20th	@NYJ	L 3-24	+6.5 L	U 39.5	NYJ +240
Sep 15th	SEA	L 20-23	+3 L	O 39.5	SEA +135
Sep 8th	@CIN	W 16-10	+8 W	U 40.5	NE +297
Aug 26th	@WAS	L 10-20	-6.5 L	U 36.5	WAS -298

Yannick Ngakoue
LB
Ngakoue is out with personal
Out

Kyle Dugger
S
Dugger is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Christian Barmore
DT
Barmore is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable
Christian Elliss
LB
Elliss is questionable with abdomen
Questionable
Cole Strange
G
Strange is questionable with knee
Questionable
Vederian Lowe
T
Lowe is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Christian Gonzalez
CB
Gonzalez is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Alex Austin
CB
Austin is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Jaquelin Roy
DT
Roy is out with foot
Out
Caedan Wallace
OL
Wallace is out with ankle
Out
Javon Baker
WR
Baker is out with concussion
Out

Kendall Lamm
T
Lamm is questionable with back
Questionable
Terron Armstead
T
Armstead is doubtful with knee
Doubtful
Tyus Bowser
OLB
Bowser is out with knee
Out
Bradley Chubb
LB
Chubb is questionable with knee
Questionable
Austin Jackson
OL
Jackson is out with knee
Out
Blake Ferguson
LS
Ferguson is questionable with illness
Questionable
Jaylen Waddle
WR
Waddle is questionable with knee
Questionable
Dee Eskridge
WR
Eskridge is out with knee
Out
Cameron Goode
LB
Goode is questionable with knee
Questionable
Kader Kohou
CB
Kohou is questionable with back
Questionable
Grant DuBose
WR
DuBose is questionable with shoulder
Questionable

See more NFL Injuries

Dolphins

Total

Patriots

372

Total Yards

299

Total Plays

Yards Per Play

5.4

Dolphins

Passing

Patriots

194

YDS

160

18/31

Comps/Atts

18/34

5.265

YPA

4.111

0/1

TDs/INTs

0/0

3/15

Sacks/Yards

2/12

Dolphins

Rushing

Patriots

193

Rush Yards

151

Attempts

4.707

YPC

7.947

TDs

Dolphins

Turnovers

Patriots

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Dolphins

Efficiency

Patriots

1/2 50%

Redzone

0/2 0%

2/11 0%

3rd Down

4/13 0%

0/1 0%

4th Down

0/1 0%

Dolphins

First Downs

Patriots

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Dolphins

Misc

Patriots

6/54

Penalties/Yards

12/105

34:20

Possession

25:40

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MatchupOverUnder
Dolphins 6-8	o19.5-110	u19.5-120
Patriots 3-11	o17.5-115	u17.5-115

Dolphins vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Predictions - October 6, 2024

Dolphins at Patriots

Miami Dolphins

New England Patriots

Dolphins at Patriots Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

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Dolphins

Patriots

Dolphins vs. Patriots Previews & Analysis

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Dolphins vs. Patriots Props

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Dolphins vs. Patriots Public Betting Percentages

Dolphins

Public

Patriots

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Patriots vs. Dolphins Injury Updates

Patriots Injuries

Dolphins Injuries

Dolphins vs. Patriots Odds Comparison

Dolphins at Patriots Team Totals