Packers vs. Rams Odds & Betting Predictions - October 6, 2024

Packers at Rams

8:25 pm • CBS

Green Bay Packers

10-4

24 - 19

Los Angeles Rams

8-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Packers 10-4	+1.5	-3-110	o49.5-110	-155
Rams 8-6	u48.5	+3-110	u49.5-110	+125

Sunday 8:25 p.m.

October 06, 2024

SoFi StadiumInglewood

M.Stafford o218 Pass Yds (Live)-115

1.5u

Supposed to be 228.5

M.Stafford o0.5 Int (Live)+200

J.Reed u115.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110

0.91u

T.Kraft Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+500

1.25u

C.Parkinson Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+800

0.25u

LA +6 (Live)-115

0.87u

J.Jacobs Anytime TD Scorer Yes-105

GB -3-110

1.82u

Packers have won and covered the spread in the last 4 meetings vs LA. LA is not having a good year while packers have a great offense. LA’s defense is in last place in multiple categories.

T.Atwell Anytime TD Scorer Yes+226

LA +3-110

#ProSystem Buy low sell high Overall: 400-294-17,58% (ROI:11%) Season:2-1-0,67% (ROI:29%)

GB -155

0.65u

D.Wicks Anytime TD Scorer Yes+142

Wicks Game

LA +3-102

0.51u

I’m can’t quit the Rams

LA +3-105

LA +3-102

0.51u

D.Wicks 2+ TDs Yes+1800

0.5u

@TheBMatt

LA +3-102

0.5u

LA +3.5-105

1.05u

LA +3-102

LA +3-105

@SimonHunterNFL

J.Love o33.5 Pass Att-120

@nick_giffen

J.Love o33.5 Pass Att-125

1.25u

LA +3-102

$1500.00

K.Curl o5.5 Tackles + Ast-145

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-prop-picks-today-for-curtis-samuel-kamren-curl?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=propbetguy

LA +3-105

Stafford take me to the promise land

LA +3+105

C.Parkinson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+350

0.5u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-predictions-week-5-expert-data-driven-picks-for-kyler-murray-bills-vs-texans-more

B.Narveson u7.5 Kicking Pts-130

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-predictions-week-5-expert-data-driven-picks-for-kyler-murray-bills-vs-texans-more

D.Wicks 2+ TDs Yes+1500

0.25u

Spicy pick for The Touchdown Show

D.Wicks o51.5 Rec Yds-110

1.1u

T.Kraft o35.5 Rec Yds-110

M.Stafford o232.5 Pass Yds-110

0.91u

Ladder this to 300

D.Wicks o56.5 Rec Yds-113

1.13u

Tailing @sandyplashkes

M.Stafford o32.5 Pass Att-120

E.Wilson o26.5 Rush Yds-110

1.1u

Over in 3/4, with the only miss being the game where MarShawn Lloyd mixed in (he’s now on IR). The last two weeks, he has 20 carries to Jacobs 23, and he’s been just as efficient as Jacobs over the season. Jacobs is the unquestioned RB1, but LaFleur has never embraced a true bell-cow approach (AJ Dillon) - I do see Wilson mixing in with 7-8 carries. And this is a great spot against the Rams who rank 31st in FTN’s DVOA vs the run.

GB -3-114

0.88u

TAN pod / best bets

J.Jacobs o62.5 Rush Yds-120

Smash spot for Jacobs after two tough defenses. Rams have been getting shredded in the run game as they just simply do not have the personnel to stop the run. With Green Bay’s WR core banged up, I expect them to get Jacobs involved often and early and rely on him to wear down this Rams’ defense. RBs Vs Rams: Swift 93 yards, James Conner 122, Monty 91, Mason 77 🔨🔨

J.Jacobs o62.5 Rush Yds-110

0.91u

Bet365

LA +3-105

1.1u

BIG BALLS BET OF THE WEEK presented by Tommy John

D.Wicks 80+ Receiving Yards Yes+280

0.5u

Adding a half unit here.

D.Wicks o49.5 Rec Yds-125

1.25u

As a rookie, Wicks ranked 17th in yards per route run (YPRR) among receivers who ran at least 250 routes. That was better than guys like Ja'Marr Chase, DK Metcalf, and Chris Olave. As a rookie! It was slightly ahead of teammate Jayden Reed, who is also quite good. Wicks was even better against zone coverage, with an elite 2.49 YPRR mark. That ranked 14th in the league among wide receivers with at least 175 routes run against zone. The Rams have played zone coverage at the 5th-highest rate. They've allowed the highest yards per route run and yards per reception. It's an excellent matchup for Wicks, who played a season-high 76% of the snaps last week. He probably won't see 13 targets again, but Green Bay is back to slinging it with Jordan Love under center. They've had a healthy 62.1% neutral pass rate in Love's two starts.

D.Wicks o50.5 Rec Yds-112

1.12u

Added 2nd Unit

D.Wicks o50.5 Rec Yds-112

1.12u

LA +3-105

1.05u

My model makes this GB -1.8, value play+ a very Sharp group on rams.

D.Wicks o46.5 Rec Yds-120

1.2u

D.Wicks o3.5 Recs-128

FanDuel

D.Wicks Anytime TD Scorer Yes+210

D.Wicks o44.5 Rec Yds-110

1.1u

J.Love o255.5 Pass Yds-115

🔬Jordan Love back from injury last week had 574 air yards and now gets a sorry Rams defense that runs the 7th highest safety rate. Jacob Gibbs also highlighted that the Rams most used defense is cover 3 and no qb has been more accurate vs cover 3 since the start of 2023 than Love. 🔬Jordan plays better in doors when away. To end last season Love went 272 in Dallas, 256 in MIN, 268 in DET, but went 194 in SF, 219 in CAR, 218 at NYG. 🔬Watson being out helps? - I believe removing Watson from the rotation actually opens this passing game up, Reed, Wicks, Doubs, Watson is the order I believe these guys fall into and Reed and Wicks playing all game with big play ability vs this Rams D is a recipe for a hit here.

Over 48-110

1.1u

Featured Insight
The Packers have thrown for 20+ yards on 17 of 122 attempts this season -- 2nd-best in NFL; the Rams allowed 20+ yards on 14.0% of attempts this season -- T-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Rams have gained at least 5 yards on 48.0% of first down plays this season -- 7th-best in NFL; the Packers have allowed at least 5 yards on 46.0% of first down plays this season -- T-6th-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Rams are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Rams are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rams are 4-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Rams' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Rams' 7 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rams	7-7	3-4	4-3	3-2	4-4
Packers	7-6-1	4-3	3-2-1	5-4	2-2-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rams	7-7	4-3	3-4	1-4	5-3
Packers	6-7-1	2-4-1	3-3	3-5-1	3-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rams	8-6	N/A	N/A	4-1	4-4
Packers	10-4	N/A	N/A	8-1	2-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 29th	@CHI	L 18-24	+3.5 L	O 40.5	CHI +140
Sep 22nd	SF	W 27-24	+6 W	O 44.5	LA +215
Sep 15th	@ARI	L 10-41	+1 L	O 47	ARI -110
Sep 9th	@DET	L 20-26	+5.5 L	U 53.5	DET +195
Aug 24th	@HOU	L 15-17	+4 W	U 33.5	HOU +170

Jimmy Garoppolo
QB
Garoppolo is out with suspension
Out
Troy Reeder
LB
Reeder is out with hamstring
Out

Alaric Jackson
OL
Jackson is questionable with foot
Questionable
Cobie Durant
DB
Durant is out with chest
Out
Byron Young
OLB
Young is questionable with knee
Questionable
Nick Hampton
OLB
Hampton is questionable with triceps
Questionable
Jared Verse
DE
Verse is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Tyler Davis
DT
Davis is questionable with calf
Questionable
Jordan Whittington
WR
Whittington is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Beaux Limmer
OL
Limmer is questionable with knee
Questionable
KT Leveston
OL
Leveston is out with ankle
Out
Josh Wallace
DB
Wallace is questionable with hip
Questionable

Jaire Alexander
CB
Alexander is out with knee
Out
Corey Ballentine
CB
Ballentine is questionable with knee
Questionable
Luke Musgrave
TE
Musgrave is out with ankle
Out
Jordan Morgan
OL
Morgan is out with shoulder
Out
Javon Bullard
DB
Bullard is out with ankle
Out
MarShawn Lloyd
RB
Lloyd is out with hamstring
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Packers

Total

Rams

323

Total Yards

370

Total Plays

5.6

Yards Per Play

4.9

Packers

Passing

Rams

224

YDS

260

15/26

Comps/Atts

29/45

7.036

YPA

4.917

2/1

TDs/INTs

1/1

2/27

Sacks/Yards

3/24

Packers

Rushing

Rams

126

Rush Yards

134

Attempts

4.2

YPC

4.786

TDs

Packers

Turnovers

Rams

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Packers

Efficiency

Rams

2/3 66.67%

Redzone

2/3 66.67%

1/8 0%

3rd Down

8/16 0%

0/0 0%

4th Down

2/4 0%

Packers

First Downs

Rams

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Packers

Misc

Rams

6/34

Penalties/Yards

5/30

27:19

Possession

32:41

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MatchupOverUnder
Packers 10-4	o26.5-105	u26.5-115
Rams 8-6	o23.5-108	u23.5-112

Packers vs. Rams Odds & Betting Predictions - October 6, 2024

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Packers vs. Rams Public Betting Percentages

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Public

Rams

Bets%

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Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

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