Chiefs vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - November 17, 2024

Chiefs at Bills

9:25 pm • CBS

Kansas City Chiefs

13-1

21 - 30

Buffalo Bills

11-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Chiefs 13-1	-1	+2.5+100	o47-115	+125
Bills 11-3	u48	-2.5-122	u47-105	-150

Sunday 9:25 p.m.

November 17, 2024

Highmark StadiumOrchard Park

KC +5.5 (Live)+103

Pressing the Chiefs here. Lots of time for a cover. Mahomes in the 4th with a perfect record at risk.

KC +120

Over 46.5-110

0.91u

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Chiefs’ offense thrives with Mahomes, Kelce, and Hunt, ranking top ten in yards per game but struggles in pass defense. Bills, led by Allen, excel in scoring, red-zone efficiency, and rushing balance, despite injuries. Both teams consistently hit high point totals, setting up a potential shootout in a clash of dynamic offenses.

KC +114

🔑 Chiefs ML +114 (FanDuel) 2u I know the chiefs have been playing with fire but I am not not going to bet on Mahomes as an underdog. He’s 12-1-1 as a dog and I’ll take those odds all day.

KC +115

I will always take Mahomes at (+) money. He wants the perfect season that includes a 3 Peat. Public is all over Buffalo because they are at home. Mahomes is comfortable in any environment.

D.Knox Anytime TD Scorer Yes+290

D.Knox 2+ TDs Yes+3000

0.25u

POD

D.Knox o28.5 Rec Yds-112

0.98u

K.Hunt o14.5 Rec Yds-120

1.2u

BUF -134

$1492.54

BUF -125

0.5u

BUF -1.5 (1Q)+130

3.9u

BUF -1.5 (3Q)+144

BUF -1.5 (4Q)+134

4.02u

BUF -0.5 (1H)-105

BUF -1.5 (2Q)+112

K.Shakir o57.5 Rec Yds-130

BUF -120

2.5u

N.Gray Anytime TD Scorer Yes+550

3.3u

KC +115

0.87u

D.Knox Anytime TD Scorer Yes+330

@GDAWG5000

Under 46.5-108

@SimonHunterNFL and @nick_giffen

KC +2.5-110

Under 46.5-108

KC +2.5-112

1.12u

D.Knox o2.5 Recs-150

1.67u

Boyd

D.Knox o29.5 Rec Yds-110

🔬KC runs 2 high at the 3rd highest rate in the league while Knox has seen a 51.4% boost in yards per route run vs 2 high. Match that with the fact Kincaid is out (Knox hit in 5/L8 without Kincaid) and that KC has allowed leagues high 698 yards to tight, we have a recipe for a hit here

Under 46.5-108

1.08u

Over 46.5-110

KC +2.5-110

1.1u

D.Knox o2.5 Recs-140

0.29u

Boyd

Under 46-110

1.1u

BUF -2.5-109

D.Knox Anytime TD Scorer Yes+325

0.25u

KC +115

This should be a good game, but I think that, once again, the Chiefs will win.

D.Hopkins o4.5 Recs+120

D.Knox Anytime TD Scorer Yes+330

🎶 Hello Knoxness, My Old Friend…🎶

KC +2.5-115

KC +2.5-110

1.1u

Exec Decision

T.Kelce 8+ Receptions Yes+165

0.5u

Extra Kelce escalator

T.Kelce 10+ Receptions Yes+500

0.25u

TAN pod / best bets

J.Allen o9.5 Rush Att+375

0.94u

TAN pod / best bets

T.Kelce o65.5 Rec Yds-110

0.75u

TAN pod / best bets

J.Allen 50+ Rushing Yards Yes+235

0.59u

TAN pod / best bets

J.Allen o6.5 Rush Att-135

0.74u

TAN pod / best bets

J.Allen o30.5 Rush Yds-115

0.87u

TAN pod / best bets

J.Allen o230.5 Pass Yds-115

Over 45.5-110

0.91u

Low wind speeds here and two efficient offenses. Have enough wiggle room where I'd still be okay with the over even if both Dalton Kincaid and Amari Cooper are held out.

KC +2.5-110

0.5u

BUF +1-110

Featured Insight
The Chiefs have been successful on 54.0% of plays they have run with motion since Week 7 -- best in NFL; the Bills have allowed their opponents to be successful on 49.0% of plays against motion since Week 7 -- 5th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Bills have been successful on 47.0% of plays they have run against a base rush this season -- T-9th-best in NFL; the Chiefs have allowed their opponents to be successful on 47.0% of plays with a base rush this season -- T-5th-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bills are 5-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bills' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Bills' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	9-5	4-2	5-3	7-3	2-2
Chiefs	5-8-1	2-5	3-3-1	4-7-1	1-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bills	9-5	5-1	4-4	8-2	1-3
Chiefs	6-8	3-4	3-4	5-7	1-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	11-3	N/A	N/A	9-1	2-2
Chiefs	13-1	N/A	N/A	12-0	1-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 10th	@IND	W 30-20	-4.5 W	O 46.5	BUF -230
Nov 3rd	MIA	W 30-27	-6.5 L	O 49	BUF -298
Oct 27th	@SEA	W 31-10	-3 W	U 45.5	BUF -165
Oct 20th	TEN	W 34-10	-9.5 W	O 41	BUF -550
Oct 15th	@NYJ	W 23-20	-1.5 W	O 41.5	BUF -140

D.J. Humphries
T
Humphries is out with hamstring
Out

Patrick Mahomes
QB
Mahomes is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Harrison Butker
K
Butker is questionable with knee
Questionable
Hollywood Brown
WR
Brown is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Mecole Hardman
WR
Hardman is questionable with knee
Questionable
Rashee Rice
WR
Rice is out with leg
Out
Cam Jones
LB
Jones is questionable with illness
Questionable
Jared Wiley
TE
Wiley is out with knee
Out
Spencer Shrader
K
Shrader is out with hamstring
Out

Jordan Phillips
DT
Phillips is out with wrist
Out
Rasul Douglas
CB
Douglas is out with knee
Out
Dawuane Smoot
DE
Smoot is questionable with wrist
Questionable
Taylor Rapp
S
Rapp is questionable with neck
Questionable
Damar Hamlin
S
Hamlin is questionable with back
Questionable
Quintin Morris
TE
Morris is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Baylon Spector
LB
Spector is questionable with calf
Questionable
Tylan Grable
OL
Grable is out with groin
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Chiefs

Total

Bills

259

Total Yards

366

Total Plays

Yards Per Play

5.2

Chiefs

Passing

Bills

196

YDS

262

23/33

Comps/Atts

27/40

5.171

YPA

6.55

3/2

TDs/INTs

1/1

2/15

Sacks/Yards

0/0

Chiefs

Rushing

Bills

Rush Yards

104

Attempts

4.588

YPC

3.355

TDs

Chiefs

Turnovers

Bills

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Chiefs

Efficiency

Bills

3/3 100%

Redzone

3/4 75%

5/10 0%

3rd Down

9/15 0%

0/1 0%

4th Down

1/2 0%

Chiefs

First Downs

Bills

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Chiefs

Misc

Bills

6/57

Penalties/Yards

3/24

25:57

Possession

34:03

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MatchupOverUnder
Chiefs 13-1	o22.5-118	u22.5-102
Bills 11-3	o24.5+100	u24.5-120

Chiefs vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - November 17, 2024

Chiefs at Bills

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Chiefs vs. Bills Previews & Analysis

Chiefs vs. Bills Prediction: Bet Mahomes as a 'Dog

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NFL Player Props: Our Staff's Sunday Best Bets

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